Quarterback Fantasy Averages By Career Year  
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Quarterback Fantasy Averages By Career Year

On average, over the past 15 years, Quarterbacks enter their prime fantasy production years in their 3rd year. The prime years appear to be between the 3rd and 13th career years. For QBs that have played 13+ years, career years 15, 16, 17 and 19 are also very productive, though the amount of games for these later career years is not as high, so if 1 or 2 QBs have a great year it can skew the results. The averages for the first 7 career years are more reliable since there are many more games to average. Based on an adequate amount of games, the Top Quarterback fantasy career year takes place in year 7.

Top 10 Quarterbacks: When we limit the Quarterbacks to just the Top 10 from each year we find that most often the Top 10 QBs have their best season in their 1st to 3rd year along with their 8th year. The best fantasy career year for TOP 10 Quarterbacks has been their 1st year, though there are fewer 1st year Top 10 fantasy QBs, than other career years.

  Position Fantasy Averages by Career Year::
  QB | RB | WR | TE | K
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Chart.

Quarterback Fantasy Production by Career Year
Career Year Fantasy Game Average Total Games Averaged
1 13.59 770
2 15.05 872
3 15.75 766
4 15.82 852
5 16.62 823
6 16.59 727
7 16.78 571
8 16.56 524
9 16.66 503
10 17.08 456
11 17.22 415
12 17.07 382
13 17.11 243
14 15.64 164
15 16.81 129
16 18.55 97
17 17.31 72
18 14.83 43
19 16.54 22
20 12.25 13
21 10.82 6



Chart.

Top 10 Quarterbacks Fantasy Production by Career Year
Career Year Fantasy Season Total Average Fantasy Game Average Total Games Averaged
1 333.69 20.86 80
2 321.32 20.08 112
3 323.4 20.21 224
4 315.42 19.71 192
5 319.96 19.79 287
6 315.19 19.7 224
7 312.01 19.5 224
8 329.39 20.59 176
9 316.51 19.78 112
10 324.96 19.91 176
11 335.8 20.23 144
12 340.13 21.26 128
13 329.61 20.6 112
14 328.73 20.55 32
15 324.66 20.61 63
16 363.96 22.75 64
17 321.95 20.12 32
19 309.7 19.36 16



Quarterbacks Entering Their Prime Fantasy Year(s)
   Player    Team Entering Career Year 2017 Total Fantasy Points Projection 2016 Total Fantasy Points
   Jameis Winston [+]    Buccaneers 3 263.73 311.30
   Trevor Siemian [+]    Broncos 3 203.04 229.75
   Blake Bortles [+]    Jaguars 4 279.62 325.15
   Derek Carr [+]    Raiders 4 266.81 287.55