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Player Fantasy Projection

J.J. Nelson 2017 Fantasy Projection And Ranking

J.J. Nelson Bio & Career Stats

J.J. Nelson picture
Position: Wide Receiver
Career: 2 Years
Height: 5-10
Weight: 156
J.J. Nelson FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: ,
Birth Place: Midfield, AL
High School: Midfield HS [AL]
Drafted: 2016 Arizona Cardinals (Round: 5 #159)

Wide Receiver Rankings:
<< Kelvin Benjamin    Ty Montgomery >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
J.J. Nelson 2017 Fantasy Projection
2017 Pts 2017 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2016 Avg 2016 Fantasy Ranking 2016 Consistency
45.18 5.47 2 8.50 5.62 22 --
2017 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2017 Better Defenses in 2017 Better Pass Defenses in 2017 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
8 No No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes No
J.J. Nelson Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2016 Cardinals14345686008310078.705.62
2015 Cardinals711299200000026.953.85
J.J. Nelson 2017 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
J.J. Nelson has beaten his fantasy projection 2 straight years. His best fantasy WR ranking was #30 in 2016.
Fantasy Trends:
Nelson beat his previous year fantasy game average last year.
Player Consistency:
, and he was ranked the 219th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Nelson is entering his 3rd year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 3rd year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.13 from their 2nd year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Nelson has averaged 0.64 fantasy pts per game more than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2016 was 3.97.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.11) pts per game for Nelson.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Nelson plays this year (102 - 104 - 2 0.495%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (101 - 106 - 2 0.488%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,942) compared to this season's teams (4,695) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Nelson surprisingly had a higher fantasy avg (7.56 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (4.17 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be an indication of a higher fantasy average.
From a defensive standpoint, Nelson will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.08 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.46 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (244 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to this season's teams (243 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Nelson has been a strong finisher, and a slow starter. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (9.68 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (6.79 pts per game), 3rd quarter (3.74 pts per game) and 1st quarter (0.88 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 8 (9.73 pts per game), week 13 (7.90 pts per game) and week 11 (6.55 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 12 (2.08 pts per game), week 11 (6.55 pts per game) and week 13 (7.90 pts per game).



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