Player Fantasy Projection
J.J. Nelson 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
J.J. Nelson Bio & Career Stats
Position: Wide Receiver
156J.J. Nelson FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Midfield HS [AL]
Drafted: 2016 Arizona Cardinals
(Round: 5 #159)
|J.J. Nelson 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|J.J. Nelson Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|J.J. Nelson 2016 Fantasy Analysis
J.J. Nelson beat his fantasy projection last year. His best fantasy WR ranking was #91 in 2015.
Career Experience Outlook:
Nelson is entering his 2nd year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 2nd year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.55 from their 1st year.
Last year Nelson averaged 0.38 fantasy pts per game less than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2015 was 4.23.
Depth Chart Change:
Nelson has moved up from 3rd to 2nd on the depth chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.16) pts per game for Nelson. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Chris Johnson (2015 Avg: 9.30 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: John Brown (2015 Avg: 6.74 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Darren Fells (2015 Avg: 3.05 Pts/Game) has left the team and John Wetzel has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Ted Larsen, Mike Leach, Lyle Sendlein and Bobby Massie have left the team, A.Q. Shipley and D.J. Humphries are now starting and Evan Mathis has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Nelson plays this year (107 - 85 - 0 0.557%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (100 - 108 - 0 0.481%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,753) compared to this season's teams (4,268) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Nelson surprisingly had a higher fantasy avg (6.55 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (2.77 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be an indication of a higher fantasy average.
From a defensive standpoint, Nelson will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.00 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.62 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (247 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (245 yds/game including 1 Top 10 Defense and 2 Top 5 Defenses).