Player Fantasy Projection
Bruce Ellington 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Bruce Ellington Bio & Career Stats
Position: Wide Receiver
196Bruce Ellington FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Moncks Corner, SC
Berkeley HS [Moncks Corner, SC]
Drafted: 2014 San Francisco 49ers
(Round: 4 #106)
|Bruce Ellington 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Bruce Ellington Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Bruce Ellington 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Bruce Ellington has been below his fantasy projection 2 straight years. His best fantasy WR ranking was #98 in 2014.
Ellington fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year.
Career Experience Outlook:
Ellington is entering his 3rd year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 3rd year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.32 from their 2nd year.
Throughout his career Ellington has averaged 2.83 fantasy pts per game less than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2015 was 4.23.
Depth Chart Change:
Ellington has moved up from 3rd to 2nd on the depth chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.4025) pts per game for Ellington. At the Wide Receiver position: Anquan Boldin (2015 Avg: 4.53 Pts/Game) has left the team and Quinton Patton (2015 Avg: 1.75 Pts/Game) is now starting. Along the Offenisve Line: Erik Pears and Marcus Martin are no longer starting, Alex Boone, Kyle Nelson and Jordan Devey have left the team, Andrew Tiller and Trenton Brown are now starting and Daniel Kilgore and Joshua Garnett have been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Ellington plays this year (105 - 87 - 0 0.547%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (108 - 100 - 0 0.519%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,560) compared to this season's teams (4,284) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Ellington had a lower fantasy avg (0.04 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (1.16 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Ellington will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.17 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.77 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (243 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (239 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Ellington has been a strong finisher, and a slow starter. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (4.64 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (2.65 pts per game), 3rd quarter (0.63 pts per game) and 1st quarter (0.62 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 16 (8.18 pts per game), week 5 (1.00 pts per game) and week 9 (0.63 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 9 (0.63 pts per game), week 5 (1.00 pts per game) and week 16 (8.18 pts per game).