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Derek Carr 2017 Fantasy Projection And Ranking

Derek Carr Bio & Career Stats

Derek Carr picture
Jersey:
Position: Quarterback
Career: 3 Years
Height: 6-2
Weight: 215
Derek Carr FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: ,
Birth Place: Fresno, CA
High School: Clements HS [Sugar Land, TX]; Bakersfield Christi
College: Fresno St.
Drafted: 2014 Oakland Raiders (Round: 2 #36)

Quarterback Rankings:
<< Joe Flacco    Kirk Cousins >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Derek Carr 2017 Fantasy Projection
2017 Pts 2017 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2016 Avg 2016 Fantasy Ranking 2016 Consistency
266.81 17.53 1 15.50 19.17 19 --
2017 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2017 Better Defenses in 2017 Better Pass Defenses in 2017 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
10 No No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes No
Derek Carr Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2016 Raiders1500039332869000287.5519.17
2015 Raiders16000398732138000309.1519.32
2014 Raiders1600032702192000235.7014.73
Derek Carr 2017 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Derek Carr has beaten his fantasy projection 3 straight years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #14 in 2015, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 20 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Carr fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year.
Player Consistency:
, and he was one of the top 50 most consistent players overall (ranked 36).
Career Experience Outlook:
Carr is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 4th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.45 from their 3rd year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Carr has averaged 0.67 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2016 was 16.86.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.4575) pts per game for Carr.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Carr plays this year (114 - 79 - 1 0.591%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (104 - 105 - 0 0.498%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,865) compared to this season's teams (4,072) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Carr surprisingly had a higher fantasy avg (19.41 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (18.90 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be an indication of a higher fantasy average.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Carr will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.58 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.15 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (242 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (241 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Carr has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (21.29 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (17.37 pts per game), 1st quarter (17.33 pts per game) and 4th quarter (15.75 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 8 (29.00 pts per game), week 2 (25.25 pts per game) and week 6 (20.68 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 1 (12.62 pts per game), week 14 (13.47 pts per game) and week 11 (13.80 pts per game).
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