Player Fantasy Projection
Derek Carr 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Derek Carr Bio & Career Stats
215Derek Carr FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Clements HS [Sugar Land, TX]; Bakersfield Christi
Drafted: 2014 Oakland Raiders
(Round: 2 #36)
|Derek Carr 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Derek Carr Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Derek Carr 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Derek Carr has beaten his fantasy projection 2 straight years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #14 in 2015.
Carr beat his previous year fantasy game average last year.
, and he was one of the top 50 most consistent players overall (ranked 30).
Career Experience Outlook:
Carr is entering his 3rd year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 3rd year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.38 from their 2nd year.
Throughout his career Carr has averaged 0.15 fantasy pts per game less than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.9275) pts per game for Carr. At the Tight End position: Lee Smith (2015 Avg: .86 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Clive Walford (2015 Avg: 2.46 Pts/Game) is now starting. Along the Offenisve Line: Jon Condo and J'Marcus Webb have left the team and Kelechi Osemele has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Carr played last year (104 - 104 - 0 0.500%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (101 - 107 - 0 0.486%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,879) compared to last season's teams (4,571) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Carr had a lower fantasy avg (18.63 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (20.21 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be a indication of a better fantasy season.
From a defensive standpoint, Carr faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.15 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.08 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (240 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (235 yds/game including 6 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Carr has been a slow starter, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (20.38 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (17.20 pts per game), 4th quarter (15.96 pts per game) and 1st quarter (15.68 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 2 (25.40 pts per game), week 8 (24.03 pts per game) and week 9 (21.98 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 1 (8.65 pts per game), week 11 (8.93 pts per game) and week 4 (13.50 pts per game).