Player Fantasy Projection
AJ McCarron 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
AJ McCarron Bio & Career Stats
214AJ McCarron FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Our Lady of Lourdes Catholic HS; St. Paul's
Drafted: 2014 Cincinnati Bengals
(Round: 5 #164)
|AJ McCarron 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|AJ McCarron Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|AJ McCarron 2016 Fantasy Analysis
AJ McCarron beat his projection last year. His best fantasy QB ranking was #40 in 2015.
McCarron beat his previous year fantasy game average last year.
Career Experience Outlook:
McCarron is entering his 3rd year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 3rd year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.38 from their 2nd year.
Throughout his career McCarron has averaged 12.62 fantasy pts per game less than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
At the Running Back/Full Back position: Matt Lengel has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Marvin Jones (2015 Avg: 4.26 Pts/Game) has left the team and Brandon LaFell (2015 Avg: 2.42 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Ryan Hewitt (2015 Avg: .71 Pts/Game) has left the team. Along the Offenisve Line: Clark Harris and Andre Smith have left the team and Eric Winston is now starting.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule McCarron played last year (104 - 104 - 0 0.500%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (101 - 107 - 0 0.486%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,763) compared to last season's teams (4,511) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
McCarron had a better fantasy avg (17.95 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (5.58 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to McCarron doing better against teams with a worse record.
From a defensive standpoint, McCarron faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.38 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 4 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.23 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (246 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (238 yds/game including 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career McCarron has been a strong finisher, and a slow starter. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (12.77 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (.15 pts per game), 2nd quarter (0 pts per game) and 1st quarter (0 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 16 ( pts per game), week 15 ( pts per game) and week 14 ( pts per game).