Player Fantasy Projection
John Brown 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
John Brown Bio & Career Stats
Position: Wide Receiver
179John Brown FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Homestead HS [FL]
Drafted: 2014 Arizona Cardinals
(Round: 3 #91)
|John Brown 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|John Brown Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|John Brown 2016 Fantasy Analysis
John Brown has beaten his fantasy projection 2 straight years. His best fantasy WR ranking was #23 in 2015.
Brown beat his previous year fantasy game average last year.
, and he was one of the top 50 most consistent players overall (ranked 40).
Career Experience Outlook:
Brown is entering his 3rd year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 3rd year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.32 from their 2nd year.
Throughout his career Brown has averaged 1.31 fantasy pts per game more than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2015 was 4.23.
Depth Chart Change:
Brown has moved up from 2nd to 1st on the depth chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.234) pts per game for Brown. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Chris Johnson (2015 Avg: 9.30 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Darren Fells (2015 Avg: 3.05 Pts/Game) has left the team and John Wetzel has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Ted Larsen, Mike Leach, Lyle Sendlein and Bobby Massie have left the team, A.Q. Shipley and D.J. Humphries are now starting and Evan Mathis has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Brown plays this year (107 - 85 - 0 0.557%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (100 - 108 - 0 0.481%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,753) compared to this season's teams (4,268) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Brown surprisingly had a higher fantasy avg (7.65 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (6.23 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be an indication of a higher fantasy average.
From a defensive standpoint, Brown will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.00 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.62 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (247 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (245 yds/game including 1 Top 10 Defense and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Brown has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (6.36 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (6.05 pts per game), 3rd quarter (5.06 pts per game) and 4th quarter (4.59 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 3 (8.85 pts per game), week 1 (7.88 pts per game) and week 11 (6.25 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 2 (1.93 pts per game), week 13 (3.83 pts per game) and week 12 (4.00 pts per game).