Player Fantasy Projection
Keenan Allen 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Keenan Allen Bio & Career Stats
Position: Wide Receiver
205Keenan Allen FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Northern Guilford HS [Greensboro, NC]
Drafted: 2013 San Diego Chargers
(Round: 3 #76)
|Keenan Allen 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Keenan Allen Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Keenan Allen 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Keenan Allen has beaten his fantasy projection 2 out of 3 years. His best fantasy WR ranking was #16 in 2013.
Allen beat his previous year fantasy game average last year.
, and he was ranked the 129th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Allen is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 4th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.02 from their 3rd year.
Throughout his career Allen has averaged 2.24 fantasy pts per game more than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2015 was 4.23.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart. Coming off an Injury.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.251) pts per game for Allen. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Derek Watt has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Malcom Floyd (2015 Avg: 3.54 Pts/Game) has left the team, Steve Johnson (2015 Avg: 4.76 Pts/Game) is now starting and Travis Benjamin (2015 Avg: 5.70 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Ladarius Green (2015 Avg: 3.50 Pts/Game) has left the team, Antonio Gates (2015 Avg: 5.59 Pts/Game) is now starting and Hunter Henry has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Trevor Robinson is no longer starting, Mike Windt has left the team and Matt Slauson has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Allen played last year (105 - 103 - 0 0.505%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (100 - 108 - 0 0.481%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,941) compared to last season's teams (4,672) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Allen had a better fantasy avg (7.54 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (7.53 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Allen doing better against teams with a worse record.
From a defensive standpoint, Allen faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.85 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.15 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (243 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (241 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Allen has been a strong finisher, and a slow starter. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (8.07 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (5.86 pts per game), 3rd quarter (5.66 pts per game) and 1st quarter (5.00 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 13 (11.68 pts per game), week 12 (8.70 pts per game) and week 8 (8.70 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 2 (1.75 pts per game), week 11 (2.70 pts per game) and week 7 (3.57 pts per game).