Player Fantasy Projection
Zach Ertz 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Zach Ertz Bio & Career Stats
Position: Tight End
249Zach Ertz FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Monte Vista HS [Danville, CA]
Drafted: 2013 Philadelphia Eagles
(Round: 2 #35)
|Zach Ertz 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Zach Ertz Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Zach Ertz 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Zach Ertz has beaten his fantasy projection 2 out of 3 years. His best fantasy TE ranking was #13 in 2015, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 20 ranking.
Ertz's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 2 years.
, and he was ranked the 145th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Ertz is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 4th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.23 from their 3rd year.
Throughout his career Ertz has averaged 0.54 fantasy pts per game more than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2015 was 3.00.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.69) pts per game for Ertz. At the Running Back/Full Back position: DeMarco Murray (2015 Avg: 8.53 Pts/Game) has left the team and Ryan Mathews (2015 Avg: 7.94 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Wide Receiver position: Riley Cooper (2015 Avg: 3.15 Pts/Game) has left the team. Along the Offenisve Line: Matt Tobin is no longer starting, Jon Dorenbos has left the team and Brandon Brooks has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Ertz played last year (111 - 97 - 0 0.534%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (101 - 107 - 0 0.486%), but last season's teams gave up more points (4,831) compared to this season's teams (4,670) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Ertz had a better fantasy avg (4.61 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (3.00 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Ertz doing better against teams with a worse record.
From a defensive standpoint, Ertz faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.92 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.08 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), but last season's teams gave up more passing yards (248 yds/game including 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to this season's teams (244 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Ertz has been a strong finisher, and a slow starter. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (6.22 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (2.55 pts per game), 3rd quarter (2.35 pts per game) and 1st quarter (2.32 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 13 (10.93 pts per game), week 15 (6.78 pts per game) and week 14 (6.43 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 3 (0.82 pts per game), week 8 (1.33 pts per game) and week 4 (1.53 pts per game).