Player Fantasy Projection
Geno Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Geno Smith Bio & Career Stats
214Geno Smith FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Drafted: 2013 New York Jets
(Round: 2 #39)
|Geno Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Geno Smith Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Geno Smith 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Geno Smith has beaten his fantasy projection 2 out of 3 years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #19 in 2013.
Smith beat his previous year fantasy game average last year.
Career Experience Outlook:
Smith is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 4th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.01 from their 3rd year.
Throughout his career Smith has averaged 0.81 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
Smith has moved up from 2nd to 1st on the depth chart. Coming off an Injury.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.0375) pts per game for Smith. At the Quarterback position: Ryan Fitzpatrick (2015 Avg: 20.45 Pts/Game) has left the team. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Chris Ivory (2015 Avg: 11.06 Pts/Game) has left the team and Matt Forte (2015 Avg: 11.63 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Jeff Cumberland (2015 Avg: .64 Pts/Game) has left the team and Jace Amaro has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: D'Brickashaw Ferguson and Tanner Purdum have left the team and Ryan Clady has been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Randy Bullock (2015 Avg: 7.18 Pts/Game) has left the team and Nicholas Folk (2015 Avg: 8.29 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Smith plays this year (103 - 89 - 0 0.536%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (87 - 121 - 0 0.418%), and last season's teams gave up more points (5,111) compared to this season's teams (4,166) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Smith had a lower fantasy avg (0 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (22.65 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Smith will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.75 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 21.08 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (251 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (244 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Smith has been a quick starter. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (19.24 pts per game), followed by the 4th quarter (17.06 pts per game), 2nd quarter (13.74 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (7.79 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 3 (25.38 pts per game), week 14 (21.98 pts per game) and week 16 (20.95 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 13 (3.40 pts per game), week 12 (6.23 pts per game) and week 8 (10.55 pts per game).