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Geno Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking

Geno Smith Bio & Career Stats

Geno Smith picture
Jersey:
Position: Quarterback
Career: 3 Years
Height: 6-3
Weight: 214
Geno Smith FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: ,
Birth Place: --
High School: Miramar HS
College: West Virginia
Drafted: 2013 New York Jets (Round: 2 #39)

Quarterback Rankings:
<< Josh McCown    Colt McCoy >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Geno Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection
2016 Pts 2016 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2015 Avg 2015 Fantasy Ranking 2015 Consistency
138.69 11.23 2 7.50 -- -- --
2016 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2016 Better Defenses in 2016 Better Pass Defenses in 2016 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
11 No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Geno Smith Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2015 Jets100026523400022.6522.65
2014 Jets14000252513238100195.0513.93
2013 Jets161130304612366600261.5516.35
Geno Smith 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Geno Smith has beaten his fantasy projection 2 out of 3 years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #19 in 2013.
Fantasy Trends:
Smith beat his previous year fantasy game average last year.
Career Experience Outlook:
Smith is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 4th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.01 from their 3rd year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Smith has averaged 0.81 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
Smith has moved up from 2nd to 1st on the depth chart. Coming off an Injury.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.0375) pts per game for Smith. At the Quarterback position: Ryan Fitzpatrick (2015 Avg: 20.45 Pts/Game) has left the team. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Chris Ivory (2015 Avg: 11.06 Pts/Game) has left the team and Matt Forte (2015 Avg: 11.63 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Jeff Cumberland (2015 Avg: .64 Pts/Game) has left the team and Jace Amaro has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: D'Brickashaw Ferguson and Tanner Purdum have left the team and Ryan Clady has been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Randy Bullock (2015 Avg: 7.18 Pts/Game) has left the team and Nicholas Folk (2015 Avg: 8.29 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Smith plays this year (103 - 89 - 0 0.536%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (87 - 121 - 0 0.418%), and last season's teams gave up more points (5,111) compared to this season's teams (4,166) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Smith had a lower fantasy avg (0 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (22.65 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Smith will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.75 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 21.08 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (251 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (244 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Smith has been a quick starter. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (19.24 pts per game), followed by the 4th quarter (17.06 pts per game), 2nd quarter (13.74 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (7.79 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 3 (25.38 pts per game), week 14 (21.98 pts per game) and week 16 (20.95 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 13 (3.40 pts per game), week 12 (6.23 pts per game) and week 8 (10.55 pts per game).
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