Player Fantasy Projection
Andre Ellington 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Andre Ellington Bio & Career Stats
Position: Running Back
199Andre Ellington FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Berkeley HS [Moncks Corner, SC]
Drafted: 2013 Arizona Cardinals
(Round: 6 #187)
|Andre Ellington 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Rush Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Andre Ellington Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Andre Ellington 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Andre Ellington has beaten his fantasy projection 2 out of 3 years, but he was below his projection last year. His best fantasy RB ranking was #21 in 2014.
Ellington fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year.
, and he was ranked the 190th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Ellington is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 4th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.07 from their 3rd year.
Throughout his career Ellington has averaged 1.79 fantasy pts per game more than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2015 was 5.60.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.06) pts per game for Ellington. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Chris Johnson (2015 Avg: 9.30 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: John Brown (2015 Avg: 6.74 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Darren Fells (2015 Avg: 3.05 Pts/Game) has left the team and John Wetzel has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Mike Leach, Lyle Sendlein, Ted Larsen and Bobby Massie have left the team, A.Q. Shipley and D.J. Humphries are now starting and Evan Mathis has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Ellington plays this year (107 - 85 - 0 0.557%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (100 - 108 - 0 0.481%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,753) compared to this season's teams (4,268) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Ellington had a lower fantasy avg (4.35 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (6.51 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Ellington will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.00 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.62 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more rushing yards (113 yds/game - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (107 yds/game - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Ellington has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (10.60 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (6.85 pts per game), 3rd quarter (6.71 pts per game) and 4th quarter (5.61 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 8 (17.80 pts per game), week 5 (13.28 pts per game) and week 2 (9.85 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 11 (2.22 pts per game), week 12 (4.63 pts per game) and week 3 (5.28 pts per game).