Player Fantasy Projection
Jaron Brown 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Jaron Brown Bio & Career Stats
Position: Wide Receiver
205Jaron Brown FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
|Jaron Brown 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Jaron Brown Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Jaron Brown 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Jaron Brown has been below his fantasy projection 3 straight years. His best fantasy WR ranking was #99 in 2014.
Brown's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 2 years.
, and he was ranked the 300th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Brown is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 4th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.02 from their 3rd year.
Throughout his career Brown has averaged 2.70 fantasy pts per game less than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2015 was 4.23.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.16) pts per game for Brown. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Chris Johnson (2015 Avg: 9.30 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: John Brown (2015 Avg: 6.74 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Darren Fells (2015 Avg: 3.05 Pts/Game) has left the team and John Wetzel has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Ted Larsen, Mike Leach, Lyle Sendlein and Bobby Massie have left the team, A.Q. Shipley and D.J. Humphries are now starting and Evan Mathis has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Brown plays this year (107 - 85 - 0 0.557%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (100 - 108 - 0 0.481%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,753) compared to this season's teams (4,268) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Brown had a lower fantasy avg (0.98 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (1.88 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Brown will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.00 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.62 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (247 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (245 yds/game including 1 Top 10 Defense and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Brown has been a strong finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (2.16 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (1.85 pts per game), 1st quarter (1.56 pts per game) and 2nd quarter (1.52 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 2 (3.78 pts per game), week 14 (3.35 pts per game) and week 7 (2.70 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 1 (0.47 pts per game), week 4 (0.98 pts per game) and week 12 (1.00 pts per game).