Player Fantasy Projection
Lamar Miller 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Lamar Miller Bio & Career Stats
Position: Running Back
218Lamar Miller FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Killian HS [Miami, FL]
Drafted: 2012 Miami Dolphins
(Round: 4 #97)
|Lamar Miller 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Rush Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Lamar Miller Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Lamar Miller 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Lamar Miller has beaten his fantasy projection 3 straight years. His best fantasy RB ranking was #6 in 2015.
Miller fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year.
, and he was ranked the 173rd most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Miller is entering his 5th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 5th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.43 from their 4th year.
Throughout his career Miller has averaged 2.01 fantasy pts per game more than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2015 was 5.60.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart. He has changed teams since last year moving from the Dolphins to the Texans.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.248) pts per game for Miller. At the Quarterback position: Brian Hoyer (2015 Avg: 17.43 Pts/Game) has left the team and Brock Osweiler (2015 Avg: 17.56 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Alfred Blue (2015 Avg: 6.66 Pts/Game) is no longer starting. At the Wide Receiver position: Nate Washington (2015 Avg: 4.38 Pts/Game) has left the team and Will Fuller has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Jonathan Weeks, Brandon Brooks and Ben Jones have left the team and Jeff Allen and Nick Martin have been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Miller plays this year (108 - 100 - 0 0.519%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (90 - 118 - 0 0.433%), and last season's teams gave up more points (5,004) compared to this season's teams (4,675) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Miller had a lower fantasy avg (9.57 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (10.97 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Miller will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.77 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.85 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more rushing yards (112 yds/game - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to this season's teams (108 yds/game - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Miller has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (12.22 pts per game), followed by the 4th quarter (8.14 pts per game), 1st quarter (7.80 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (6.26 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 7 (16.75 pts per game), week 6 (15.43 pts per game) and week 9 (11.24 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 12 (3.27 pts per game), week 15 (3.75 pts per game) and week 10 (4.03 pts per game).