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Player Fantasy Projection

Andrew Luck 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking

Andrew Luck Bio & Career Stats

Andrew Luck picture
Jersey: #12
Position: Quarterback
Career: 5 Years
Height: 6-4
Weight: 235
Andrew Luck FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: ,
Birth Place: Washington, DC
High School: Stratford HS [Houston, TX]
College: Stanford
Drafted: 2012 Indianapolis Colts (Round: 1 #1)

Quarterback Rankings:
<< Jameis Winston    Carson Palmer >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Andrew Luck 2016 Fantasy Projection
2016 Pts 2016 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2015 Avg 2015 Fantasy Ranking 2015 Consistency
176.12 19.04 1 8.33 22.66 6 --
2016 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2016 Better Defenses in 2016 Better Pass Defenses in 2016 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
10 No No Yes No Yes No Yes Yes Yes
Andrew Luck Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2016 Colts200058254300048.4024.20
2015 Colts7000188115196000158.6522.66
2014 Colts16000476140273300403.3525.21
2013 Colts16000383023377400322.2020.14
Andrew Luck 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Andrew Luck was below his projection last year. His best fantasy QB ranking was #1 in 2014, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Luck fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending down 2 out of the past 3 years.
Career Experience Outlook:
Luck is entering his 5th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 5th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.56 from their 4th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Luck has averaged 5.74 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart. Coming off an Injury.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.0925) pts per game for Luck. At the Wide Receiver position: Andre Johnson (2015 Avg: 3.78 Pts/Game) has left the team and Donte Moncrief (2015 Avg: 4.54 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Coby Fleener (2015 Avg: 2.84 Pts/Game) has left the team and Erik Swoope has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Joe Reitz is no longer starting, Lance Louis and Matt Overton have left the team and Ryan Kelly has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Luck played last year (111 - 97 - 0 0.534%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (105 - 103 - 0 0.505%), but last season's teams gave up more points (4,722) compared to this season's teams (4,619) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Luck had a lower fantasy avg (22.26 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (23.20 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be a indication of a better fantasy season.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Luck will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.38 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.92 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (243 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (236 yds/game including 6 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Luck has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (24.15 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (23.27 pts per game), 3rd quarter (22.33 pts per game) and 4th quarter (19.71 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 13 (28.18 pts per game), week 4 (26.58 pts per game) and week 7 (25.96 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 16 (12.12 pts per game), week 15 (17.12 pts per game) and week 12 (17.27 pts per game).
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