Player Fantasy Projection
Andrew Luck 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Andrew Luck Bio & Career Stats
235Andrew Luck FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Stratford HS [Houston, TX]
Drafted: 2012 Indianapolis Colts
(Round: 1 #1)
|Andrew Luck 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Andrew Luck Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Andrew Luck 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Andrew Luck was below his projection last year. His best fantasy QB ranking was #1 in 2014, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Luck fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending down 2 out of the past 3 years.
Career Experience Outlook:
Luck is entering his 5th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 5th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.56 from their 4th year.
Throughout his career Luck has averaged 5.74 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart. Coming off an Injury.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.0925) pts per game for Luck. At the Wide Receiver position: Andre Johnson (2015 Avg: 3.78 Pts/Game) has left the team and Donte Moncrief (2015 Avg: 4.54 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Coby Fleener (2015 Avg: 2.84 Pts/Game) has left the team and Erik Swoope has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Joe Reitz is no longer starting, Lance Louis and Matt Overton have left the team and Ryan Kelly has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Luck played last year (111 - 97 - 0 0.534%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (105 - 103 - 0 0.505%), but last season's teams gave up more points (4,722) compared to this season's teams (4,619) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Luck had a lower fantasy avg (22.26 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (23.20 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be a indication of a better fantasy season.
From a defensive standpoint, Luck will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.38 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.92 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (243 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (236 yds/game including 6 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Luck has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (24.15 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (23.27 pts per game), 3rd quarter (22.33 pts per game) and 4th quarter (19.71 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 13 (28.18 pts per game), week 4 (26.58 pts per game) and week 7 (25.96 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 16 (12.12 pts per game), week 15 (17.12 pts per game) and week 12 (17.27 pts per game).