Player Fantasy Projection
Doug Baldwin 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Doug Baldwin Bio & Career Stats
Position: Wide Receiver
189Doug Baldwin FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Gulf Breeze HS [FL]
|Doug Baldwin 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Doug Baldwin Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Doug Baldwin 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Doug Baldwin has beaten his fantasy projection 3 out of 5 years. His best fantasy WR ranking was #7 in 2015.
Baldwin beat his previous year fantasy game average last year.
, and he was ranked the 199th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Baldwin is entering his 6th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 6th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.08 from their 5th year.
Throughout his career Baldwin has averaged 0.66 fantasy pts per game more than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2015 was 4.23.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.385) pts per game for Baldwin. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Will Tukuafu (2015 Avg: 2.49 Pts/Game) has left the team and Thomas Rawls (2015 Avg: 9.73 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Jermaine Kearse (2015 Avg: 5.35 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Jimmy Graham (2015 Avg: 3.84 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Patrick Lewis is no longer starting, Clint Gresham, J.R. Sweezy and Russell Okung have left the team, Mark Glowinski is now starting and J'Marcus Webb and Germain Ifedi have been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Baldwin plays this year (107 - 85 - 0 0.557%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (108 - 100 - 0 0.519%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,565) compared to this season's teams (4,376) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Baldwin surprisingly had a higher fantasy avg (10.31 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (7.25 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be an indication of a higher fantasy average.
From a defensive standpoint, Baldwin faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.92 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.58 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (247 yds/game including 2 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (241 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Baldwin has been a strong finisher, and a slow starter. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (6.14 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (5.22 pts per game), 2nd quarter (3.72 pts per game) and 1st quarter (3.38 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 14 (9.37 pts per game), week 16 (7.89 pts per game) and week 12 (7.31 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 8 (2.26 pts per game), week 2 (3.10 pts per game) and week 3 (3.31 pts per game).