Player Fantasy Projection
Chris Hogan 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Chris Hogan Bio & Career Stats
Position: Wide Receiver
220Chris Hogan FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
|Chris Hogan 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Chris Hogan Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Chris Hogan 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Chris Hogan has been below his fantasy projection 2 out of 3 years. His best fantasy WR ranking was #64 in 2014.
Hogan fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year.
, and he was ranked the 238th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Hogan is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 4th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.02 from their 3rd year.
Throughout his career Hogan has averaged 2.08 fantasy pts per game less than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2015 was 4.23.
Depth Chart Change:
Hogan has dropped from 1st to 2nd on the depth chart. He has changed teams since last year moving from the Bills to the Patriots.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a higher fantasy average of (0.19) pts per game for Hogan. At the Running Back/Full Back position: James White (2015 Avg: 5.65 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and LeGarrette Blount (2015 Avg: 9.54 Pts/Game) and Dion Lewis (2015 Avg: 9.54 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Julian Edelman (2015 Avg: 8.77 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Martellus Bennett (2015 Avg: 3.63 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Marcus Cannon and Josh Kline are no longer starting, Joe Cardona has left the team, Tre Jackson is now starting and Nate Solder has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Hogan plays this year (103 - 89 - 0 0.536%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (102 - 106 - 0 0.490%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,801) compared to this season's teams (4,079) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Hogan had a lower fantasy avg (1.47 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (4.13 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Hogan will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 12.92 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 5 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.54 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (248 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (238 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Hogan has been a quick starter, and a slow finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (3.60 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (3.21 pts per game), 3rd quarter (3.07 pts per game) and 4th quarter (1.95 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 10 (4.83 pts per game), week 6 (3.75 pts per game) and week 5 (3.65 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 15 (0.48 pts per game), week 12 (0.98 pts per game) and week 16 (1.50 pts per game).