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Player Fantasy Projection

Chris Hogan 2017 Fantasy Projection And Ranking

Chris Hogan Bio & Career Stats

Chris Hogan picture
Jersey: #5
Position: Wide Receiver
Career: 4 Years
Height: 6-1
Weight: 220
Chris Hogan FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: ,
Birth Place: Ramapo, NJ
High School:
College: Monmouth (N.J.)
Drafted: Undrafted

Wide Receiver Rankings:
<< Albert Wilson    Jeremy Kerley >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Chris Hogan 2017 Fantasy Projection
2017 Pts 2017 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2016 Avg 2016 Fantasy Ranking 2016 Consistency
21.72 2.63 5 13.00 4.53 47 --
2017 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2017 Better Defenses in 2017 Better Pass Defenses in 2017 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
9 No No No Yes No Yes No No Yes
Chris Hogan Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2016 Patriots1338680400900058.904.53
2015 Bills1336450240400035.102.70
2014 Bills1641426400000045.302.83
Chris Hogan 2017 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Chris Hogan beat his projection last year. His best fantasy WR ranking was #52 in 2016.
Fantasy Trends:
Hogan beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending up 2 out of the past 3 years.
Player Consistency:
, and he was ranked the 199th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Hogan is entering his 5th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 5th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.17 from their 4th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Hogan has averaged 1.42 fantasy pts per game less than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2016 was 3.97.
Depth Chart Change:
Hogan has dropped from 1st to 2nd on the depth chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.59) pts per game for Hogan. At the Wide Receiver position: Brandin Cooks (2016 Avg: 7.31 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Martellus Bennett (2016 Avg: 4.88 Pts/Game) has left the team and Rob Gronkowski (2016 Avg: 7.50 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Hogan plays this year (108 - 85 - 0 0.560%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (90 - 117 - 3 0.435%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,779) compared to this season's teams (4,484) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Hogan had a lower fantasy avg (3.29 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (5.59 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Hogan faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.77 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 4 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.50 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (242 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (228 yds/game including 7 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Hogan has been a quick starter, and a slow finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (3.82 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (3.73 pts per game), 3rd quarter (3.13 pts per game) and 4th quarter (2.77 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 14 (5.86 pts per game), week 8 (5.63 pts per game) and week 10 (4.83 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 15 (0.62 pts per game), week 16 (1.40 pts per game) and week 2 (1.75 pts per game).
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