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Player Fantasy Projection

Chris Hogan 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking

Chris Hogan Bio & Career Stats

Chris Hogan picture
Jersey: #5
Position: Wide Receiver
Career: 3 Years
Height: 6-1
Weight: 220
Chris Hogan FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: ,
Birth Place: Ramapo, NJ
High School:
College: Monmouth (N.J.)
Drafted: Undrafted

Wide Receiver Rankings:
<< Justin Hunter    Ryan Grant >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Chris Hogan 2016 Fantasy Projection
2016 Pts 2016 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2015 Avg 2015 Fantasy Ranking 2015 Consistency
19.52 2.34 2 12.50 2.70 88 --
2016 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2016 Better Defenses in 2016 Better Pass Defenses in 2016 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
9 Yes No No Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes
Chris Hogan Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2015 Bills1336450240400035.102.70
2014 Bills1641426400000045.302.83
2013 Bills16108300000004.15.26
Chris Hogan 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Chris Hogan has been below his fantasy projection 2 out of 3 years. His best fantasy WR ranking was #64 in 2014.
Fantasy Trends:
Hogan fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year.
Player Consistency:
, and he was ranked the 238th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Hogan is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 4th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.02 from their 3rd year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Hogan has averaged 2.08 fantasy pts per game less than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2015 was 4.23.
Depth Chart Change:
Hogan has dropped from 1st to 2nd on the depth chart. He has changed teams since last year moving from the Bills to the Patriots.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a higher fantasy average of (0.19) pts per game for Hogan. At the Running Back/Full Back position: James White (2015 Avg: 5.65 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and LeGarrette Blount (2015 Avg: 9.54 Pts/Game) and Dion Lewis (2015 Avg: 9.54 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Julian Edelman (2015 Avg: 8.77 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Martellus Bennett (2015 Avg: 3.63 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Marcus Cannon and Josh Kline are no longer starting, Joe Cardona has left the team, Tre Jackson is now starting and Nate Solder has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Hogan plays this year (103 - 89 - 0 0.536%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (102 - 106 - 0 0.490%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,801) compared to this season's teams (4,079) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Hogan had a lower fantasy avg (1.47 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (4.13 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Hogan will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 12.92 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 5 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.54 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (248 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (238 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Hogan has been a quick starter, and a slow finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (3.60 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (3.21 pts per game), 3rd quarter (3.07 pts per game) and 4th quarter (1.95 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 10 (4.83 pts per game), week 6 (3.75 pts per game) and week 5 (3.65 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 15 (0.48 pts per game), week 12 (0.98 pts per game) and week 16 (1.50 pts per game).
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