Player Fantasy Projection
Dan Bailey 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
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|Dan Bailey 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Dan Bailey Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Dan Bailey 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Dan Bailey has beaten his fantasy projection 3 out of 5 years, but he was below his projection last year. His best fantasy K ranking was #5 in 2011, and he has had a total of 4 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Bailey fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending down 2 out of the past 4 years.
, and he was one of the top 50 most consistent players overall (ranked 43).
Career Experience Outlook:
Bailey is entering his 6th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, Ks in their 6th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.69 from their 5th year.
Throughout his career Bailey has averaged 0.96 fantasy pts per game more than the league K average. The average fantasy pts per game by Ks in 2015 was 7.16.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.47) pts per game for Bailey. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Tyler Clutts (2015 Avg: .20 Pts/Game), Joseph Randle (2015 Avg: 9.94 Pts/Game) and Christine Michael (2015 Avg: 1.04 Pts/Game) have left the team and Ezekiel Elliott has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Cole Beasley (2015 Avg: 3.79 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Gavin Escobar (2015 Avg: 1.84 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Jason Witten (2015 Avg: 3.35 Pts/Game) and James Hanna (2015 Avg: .56 Pts/Game) are now starting. Along the Offenisve Line: Ronald Leary is no longer starting, L.P. LaDouceur has left the team and La'el Collins is now starting.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Bailey played last year (114 - 94 - 0 0.548%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (97 - 111 - 0 0.466%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,908) compared to last season's teams (4,774) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Bailey had a better fantasy avg (7.29 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (7.11 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Bailey doing better against teams with a worse record.
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Bailey has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (8.41 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (8.20 pts per game), 3rd quarter (8.06 pts per game) and 4th quarter (7.36 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 15 (10.40 pts per game), week 6 (10.00 pts per game) and week 3 (9.80 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 16 (5.20 pts per game), week 14 (6.80 pts per game) and week 4 (7.00 pts per game).