Player Fantasy Projection
Lee Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Lee Smith Bio & Career Stats
Position: Tight End
269Lee Smith FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Drafted: 2011 New England Patriots
(Round: 5 #159)
|Lee Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Lee Smith Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Lee Smith 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Lee Smith has been below his fantasy projection 3 out of 5 years, but he beat his projection last year. His best fantasy TE ranking was #51 in 2012.
Smith's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 2 years, and has been trending up 3 out of the past 4 years.
, and he was ranked the 317th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Smith is entering his 6th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 6th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.12 from their 5th year.
Throughout his career Smith has averaged 2.19 fantasy pts per game less than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2015 was 3.00.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.19) pts per game for Smith. At the Tight End position: Clive Walford (2015 Avg: 2.46 Pts/Game) is now starting. Along the Offenisve Line: Jon Condo and J'Marcus Webb have left the team and Kelechi Osemele has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Smith played last year (104 - 104 - 0 0.500%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (101 - 107 - 0 0.486%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,879) compared to last season's teams (4,571) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Smith had a better fantasy avg (1.42 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (0.40 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Smith doing better against teams with a worse record.
From a defensive standpoint, Smith faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.15 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.08 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (240 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (235 yds/game including 6 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Smith has been a slow starter, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (1.25 pts per game), followed by the 4th quarter (1.10 pts per game), 3rd quarter (0.95 pts per game) and 1st quarter (0.51 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 8 (3.28 pts per game), week 13 (2.27 pts per game) and week 12 (1.69 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 15 (0.03 pts per game), week 10 (0.15 pts per game) and week 7 (0.32 pts per game).