Player Fantasy Projection
Julius Thomas 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Julius Thomas Bio & Career Stats
Position: Tight End
255Julius Thomas FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Drafted: 2011 Denver Broncos
(Round: 4 #129)
|Julius Thomas 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Julius Thomas Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Julius Thomas 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Julius Thomas was below his projection last year. His best fantasy TE ranking was #3 in 2013, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 15 ranking.
Thomas fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year.
, and he was ranked the 216th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Thomas is entering his 5th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 5th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.09 from their 4th year.
Throughout his career Thomas has averaged 2.00 fantasy pts per game more than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2015 was 3.00.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.031) pts per game for Thomas. At the Running Back/Full Back position: T.J. Yeldon (2015 Avg: 8.83 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Chris Ivory (2015 Avg: 11.06 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Zane Beadles, Stefen Wisniewski and Carson Tinker have left the team, Luke Bowanko is now starting and Mackenzy Bernadeau has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Thomas plays this year have the same winning percentage (0.486%) as the teams on last year's schedule, but last season's teams gave up more points (4,866) compared to this season's teams (4,706) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
There was not much difference last year in the fantasy average Thomas had against winning teams (3.73 pts/game) and losing teams (4.62 pts/game), so there are no clear trends to be learned from the winning percentage of the schedule.
From a defensive standpoint, Thomas will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.69 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.54 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (242 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to this season's teams (233 yds/game including 7 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Thomas has been a quick starter, and a slow finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (8.23 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (7.10 pts per game), 3rd quarter (6.30 pts per game) and 4th quarter (3.80 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 1 (13.57 pts per game), week 5 (11.47 pts per game) and week 6 (10.52 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 8 (1.30 pts per game), week 15 (2.63 pts per game) and week 7 (3.20 pts per game).