Player Fantasy Projection
A.J. Green 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
A.J. Green Bio & Career Stats
Position: Wide Receiver
211A.J. Green FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Drafted: 2011 Cincinnati Bengals
(Round: 1 #4)
|A.J. Green 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|A.J. Green Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|A.J. Green 2016 Fantasy Analysis
A.J. Green has beaten his fantasy projection 4 out of 5 years. His best fantasy WR ranking was #3 in 2012, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Green fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year.
, and he was ranked the 149th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Green is entering his 6th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 6th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.08 from their 5th year.
Throughout his career Green has averaged 3.77 fantasy pts per game more than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2015 was 4.23.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.248) pts per game for Green. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Matt Lengel has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Marvin Jones (2015 Avg: 4.26 Pts/Game) has left the team and Brandon LaFell (2015 Avg: 2.42 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Ryan Hewitt (2015 Avg: .71 Pts/Game) has left the team. Along the Offenisve Line: Clark Harris and Andre Smith have left the team and Eric Winston is now starting.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Green played last year (104 - 104 - 0 0.500%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (101 - 107 - 0 0.486%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,763) compared to last season's teams (4,511) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Green had a lower fantasy avg (6.95 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (8.47 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be a indication of a better fantasy season.
From a defensive standpoint, Green faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.38 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 4 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.23 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (246 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (238 yds/game including 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Green has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (8.85 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (8.35 pts per game), 3rd quarter (7.27 pts per game) and 4th quarter (6.97 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 3 (10.89 pts per game), week 7 (10.08 pts per game) and week 6 (10.06 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 15 (4.71 pts per game), week 4 (6.25 pts per game) and week 2 (6.28 pts per game).