Player Fantasy Projection
Ryan Mathews 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Ryan Mathews Bio & Career Stats
Position: Running Back
218Ryan Mathews FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
West HS [Bakersfield, CA]
Drafted: 2010 San Diego Chargers
(Round: 1 #12)
|Ryan Mathews 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Rush Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Ryan Mathews Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Ryan Mathews 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Ryan Mathews has been below his projection the last 2 years. His best fantasy RB ranking was #9 in 2011.
Mathews' fantasy game average per year has been going down for 2 years, and has been trending down 3 out of the past 5 years.
, and he was one of the top 100 most consistent players overall (ranked 83).
Career Experience Outlook:
Mathews is entering his 7th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 7th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.9 from their 6th year.
Throughout his career Mathews has averaged 3.96 fantasy pts per game more than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2015 was 5.60.
Depth Chart Change:
Mathews has moved up from 2nd to 1st on the depth chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.478) pts per game for Mathews. At the Running Back/Full Back position: DeMarco Murray (2015 Avg: 8.53 Pts/Game) has left the team. At the Wide Receiver position: Riley Cooper (2015 Avg: 3.15 Pts/Game) has left the team. Along the Offenisve Line: Matt Tobin is no longer starting, Jon Dorenbos has left the team and Brandon Brooks has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Mathews played last year (111 - 97 - 0 0.534%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (101 - 107 - 0 0.486%), but last season's teams gave up more points (4,831) compared to this season's teams (4,670) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Mathews had a better fantasy avg (9.96 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (6.68 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Mathews doing better against teams with a worse record.
From a defensive standpoint, Mathews faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.92 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.08 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and this season's teams gave up more rushing yards (110 yds/game - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (108 yds/game - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Mathews has been a strong finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (11.08 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (9.53 pts per game), 2nd quarter (9.44 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (8.91 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 3 (13.49 pts per game), week 12 (12.71 pts per game) and week 15 (10.97 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 9 (7.04 pts per game), week 6 (7.46 pts per game) and week 2 (7.85 pts per game).