Player Fantasy Projection
Garrett Graham 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Garrett Graham Bio & Career Stats
Position: Tight End
243Garrett Graham FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Drafted: 2010 Houston Texans
(Round: 4 #118)
|Garrett Graham 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Garrett Graham Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Garrett Graham 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Garrett Graham has been below his fantasy projection 4 out of 6 years, including the last 2. His best fantasy TE ranking was #13 in 2013.
Graham beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending up 4 out of the past 5 years.
Career Experience Outlook:
Graham is entering his 7th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 7th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.07 from their 6th year.
Throughout his career Graham has averaged 1.19 fantasy pts per game less than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2015 was 3.00.
Depth Chart Change:
Graham has moved up from 3rd to 2nd on the depth chart. He has changed teams since last year moving from the Texans to the Broncos.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.451375) pts per game for Graham. At the Quarterback position: Peyton Manning (2015 Avg: 13.89 Pts/Game) has left the team and Mark Sanchez (2015 Avg: 15.00 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Ronnie Hillman (2015 Avg: 8.37 Pts/Game) is no longer starting, Virgil Green (2015 Avg: 1.63 Pts/Game) has left the team and C.J. Anderson (2015 Avg: 7.41 Pts/Game) and Juwan Thompson (2015 Avg: 1.05 Pts/Game) are now starting. At the Tight End position: Owen Daniels (2015 Avg: 2.92 Pts/Game) has left the team, Virgil Green (2015 Avg: 1.63 Pts/Game) is now starting and Jeff Heuerman has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Michael Schofield is no longer starting, Ryan Harris, Evan Mathis, Louis Vasquez and Aaron Brewer have left the team, Max Garcia is now starting and Russell Okung, Donald Stephenson and Connor McGovern have been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Graham played last year (111 - 97 - 0 0.534%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (107 - 101 - 0 0.514%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,816) compared to last season's teams (4,768) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Graham had a better fantasy avg (6.35 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (0.29 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Graham doing better against teams with a worse record.
From a defensive standpoint, Graham will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.15 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.38 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (247 yds/game including 2 Top 10 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (245 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Graham has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (4.69 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (3.53 pts per game), 4th quarter (1.40 pts per game) and 2nd quarter (0.85 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 11 (12.20 pts per game), week 2 (3.98 pts per game) and week 4 (3.72 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 16 (0.35 pts per game), week 5 (0.43 pts per game) and week 13 (0.72 pts per game).