Player Fantasy Projection
David Johnson 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
David Johnson Bio & Career Stats
Position: Tight End
260David Johnson FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Pine Bluff, AR
Drafted: 2009 Pittsburgh Steelers
(Round: 7 #241)
|David Johnson 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|David Johnson Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|David Johnson 2016 Fantasy Analysis
David Johnson has been below his fantasy projection 5 out of 6 years, including the last 3. His best fantasy TE ranking was #51 in 2011.
Johnson beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending up 3 out of the past 5 years.
Career Experience Outlook:
Johnson is entering his 7th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 7th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.07 from their 6th year.
Throughout his career Johnson has averaged 2.42 fantasy pts per game less than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2015 was 3.00.
Depth Chart Change:
Johnson has moved up from 4th to 2nd on the depth chart. He has changed teams since last year moving from the Chargers to the Steelers.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.1175) pts per game for Johnson. At the Running Back/Full Back position: DeAngelo Williams (2015 Avg: 10.94 Pts/Game) is no longer starting, Will Johnson (2015 Avg: 3.75 Pts/Game) has left the team and Le'Veon Bell (2015 Avg: 13.40 Pts/Game) and Roosevelt Nix (2015 Avg: .40 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Heath Miller (2015 Avg: 2.78 Pts/Game) has left the team, Matt Spaeth (2015 Avg: .25 Pts/Game) is now starting and Ladarius Green (2015 Avg: 3.50 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Cody Wallace is no longer starting, Greg Warren has left the team and Maurkice Pouncey has been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Chris Boswell (2015 Avg: 9.42 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Shaun Suisham has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Johnson played last year (105 - 103 - 0 0.505%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (101 - 107 - 0 0.486%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,809) compared to last season's teams (4,672) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
There was not much difference last year in the fantasy average Johnson had against winning teams (0.20 pts/game) and losing teams (0.20 pts/game), so there are no clear trends to be learned from the winning percentage of the schedule.
From a defensive standpoint, Johnson faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.85 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.69 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (250 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (241 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Johnson has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (1.04 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (0.46 pts per game), 4th quarter (0.32 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (0.29 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 13 (0.83 pts per game), week 3 (0.73 pts per game) and week 14 (0.55 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 12 (0.00 pts per game), week 15 (0.00 pts per game) and week 6 (0.00 pts per game).