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| Arian Foster 2011 Fantasy Projection |
| 2011 Pts |
2011 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2010 Avg |
2010 Fantasy Ranking |
2010 Consistency |
| 275.28 |
17.76 |
1 |
10.00 |
18.74 |
1 |
Consistent |
| 2011 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2011 |
Better Defenses in 2011 |
Better Rush Defenses in 2011 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 11 |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
No |
No |
| Arian Foster Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2010 | Texans | 16 | 66 | 604 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1616 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 299.80 | 18.74 |
| 2009 | Texans | 5 | 8 | 93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 48.35 | 9.67 |
| Arian Foster 2011 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Arian Foster has beaten his fantasy projection 2 straight years. His best fantasy RB ranking was #1 in 2010.
Fantasy Trends:
Foster beat his previous year fantasy game average last year.
Player Consistency:
Arian Foster was one of the top 25 most consistent RBs last year (ranked 15), and he was one of the top 75 most consistent players overall (ranked 66).
Career Experience Outlook:
Foster is entering his 3rd year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 3rd year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.34 from their 2nd year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Foster has averaged 8.63 fantasy pts per game more than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2010 was 5.53.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.083) pts per game for Foster. At the Quarterback position: Matt Schaub (2010 Avg: 18.33 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Andre Johnson (2010 Avg: 8.45 Pts/Game) and Kevin Walter (2010 Avg: 3.82 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Owen Daniels (2010 Avg: 3.23 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Chris Myers, Wade Smith, Eric Winston, Duane Brown and Darius Morris have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Neil Rackers (2010 Avg: 7.75 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Foster played last year (111 - 98 - 0 0.531%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (108 - 100 - 0 0.519%), but last season's teams gave up more points (4,745) compared to this season's teams (4,400) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Foster had a better fantasy avg (21.04 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (16.44 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Foster doing better against teams with a worse record.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Foster will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.69 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.69 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses), but this season's teams gave up more rushing yards (148 yds/game - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (147 yds/game - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Foster has been a quick starter. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (22.88 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (20.35 pts per game), 4th quarter (14.76 pts per game) and 2nd quarter (14.15 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 16 (16.50 pts per game), week 14 (8.68 pts per game) and week 15 (2.58 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 15 (2.58 pts per game), week 14 (8.68 pts per game) and week 16 (16.50 pts per game).
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