Player Fantasy Projection
Matthew Stafford 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Matthew Stafford Bio & Career Stats
232Matthew Stafford FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Highland Park HS [Dallas, TX]
Drafted: 2009 Detroit Lions
(Round: 1 #1)
|Matthew Stafford 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Matthew Stafford Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Matthew Stafford 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Matthew Stafford has been below his fantasy projection 4 out of 7 years, but he beat his projection last year. His best fantasy QB ranking was #4 in 2013, and he has had a total of 4 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Stafford beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending down 3 out of the last 5 years.
, and he was one of the top 25 most consistent players overall (ranked 17).
Career Experience Outlook:
Stafford is entering his 8th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 8th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.16 from their 7th year.
Throughout his career Stafford has averaged 3.07 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.675) pts per game for Stafford. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Joique Bell (2015 Avg: 5.34 Pts/Game) has left the team and Ameer Abdullah (2015 Avg: 5.43 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Wide Receiver position: Calvin Johnson (2015 Avg: 7.17 Pts/Game) has left the team and Marvin Jones (2015 Avg: 4.26 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Timothy Wright (2015 Avg: 3.17 Pts/Game) has left the team and Brandon Pettigrew (2015 Avg: 1.87 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Michael Ola is no longer starting, Don Muhlbach has left the team and Taylor Decker has been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Sam Martin has left the team and Matt Prater (2015 Avg: 6.80 Pts/Game) is now starting.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Stafford played last year (110 - 98 - 0 0.529%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (85 - 107 - 0 0.443%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,715) compared to last season's teams (4,615) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Stafford had a lower fantasy avg (16.60 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (24.74 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be a indication of a better fantasy season.
From a defensive standpoint, Stafford faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.31 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 20.42 - 1 Top 10 Defense and 1 Top 5 Defense), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (249 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (240 yds/game including 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Stafford has been a slow starter, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (21.84 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (21.26 pts per game), 4th quarter (20.45 pts per game) and 1st quarter (19.50 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 11 (24.18 pts per game), week 6 (24.02 pts per game) and week 8 (23.96 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 5 (15.25 pts per game), week 14 (18.25 pts per game) and week 9 (18.43 pts per game).