Player Fantasy Projection
Chris Johnson 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Chris Johnson Bio & Career Stats
Position: Running Back
200Chris Johnson FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Olympia HS [Olympia, FL]
Drafted: 2008 Tennessee Titans
(Round: 1 #24)
|Chris Johnson 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Rush Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Chris Johnson Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Chris Johnson 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Chris Johnson has beaten his fantasy projection 5 out of 8 years. His best fantasy RB ranking was #1 in 2009, and he has had a total of 2 seasons with a top 3 ranking.
Johnson beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending up 3 out of the past 5 years.
, and he was ranked the 137th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Johnson is entering his 9th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 9th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.29 from their 8th year.
Throughout his career Johnson has averaged 6.15 fantasy pts per game more than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2015 was 5.60.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.084) pts per game for Johnson. At the Wide Receiver position: John Brown (2015 Avg: 6.74 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Darren Fells (2015 Avg: 3.05 Pts/Game) has left the team and John Wetzel has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Ted Larsen, Mike Leach, Lyle Sendlein and Bobby Massie have left the team, A.Q. Shipley and D.J. Humphries are now starting and Evan Mathis has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Johnson plays this year (107 - 85 - 0 0.557%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (100 - 108 - 0 0.481%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,753) compared to this season's teams (4,268) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Johnson had a lower fantasy avg (5.48 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (10.73 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Johnson will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.00 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.62 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more rushing yards (113 yds/game - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (107 yds/game - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Johnson has been a strong finisher, and a slow starter. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (12.65 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (12.56 pts per game), 2nd quarter (11.29 pts per game) and 1st quarter (10.46 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 9 (18.46 pts per game), week 7 (14.78 pts per game) and week 13 (14.61 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 6 (8.46 pts per game), week 16 (8.88 pts per game) and week 5 (8.94 pts per game).