John Carlson Fantasy Ranking & Outlook  
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John Carlson Bio & Career Stats

John Carlson picture
Jersey: #89
Position: Tight End
Career: 3 Years
Height: 6-5
Weight: 251
John Carlson FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: May 12, 1984
Birth Place: St. Cloud, MN
High School: Litchfield HS [Litchfield, MN]
College: Notre Dame
Drafted: 2008 Seattle Seahawks (Round: 2 #38)

Tight End Rankings:
<< Leonard Pope    Zach Miller >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
John Carlson 2011 Fantasy Projection
2011 Pts 2011 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2010 Avg 2010 Fantasy Ranking 2010 Consistency
9.50 1.11 2 15.00 1.46 37 Inconsistent
2011 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2011 Better Defenses in 2011 Better Pass Defenses in 2011 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
6 No No No Yes Yes Yes No No No
John Carlson Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2010 Seahawks1531318100000021.901.46
2009 Seahawks1651574700000070.704.42
2008 Seahawks1655627500000061.353.83
John Carlson 2011 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
John Carlson has beaten his fantasy projection 2 out of 3 years, but he was below his projection last year. His best fantasy TE ranking was #7 in 2008.
Fantasy Trends:
Carlson fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year.
Player Consistency:
John Carlson was ranked the 46th most consistent TE last year, and he was ranked the 298th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Carlson is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 4th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.06 from their 3rd year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Carlson has averaged 0.91 fantasy pts per game more than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2010 was 2.38.
Depth Chart Change:
Carlson has dropped from 1st to 2nd on the depth chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.369375) pts per game for Carlson. At the Quarterback position: Tarvaris Jackson (2010 Avg: 5.39 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Marshawn Lynch (2010 Avg: 8.35 Pts/Game) and Michael Robinson (2010 Avg: 1.00 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Mike Williams (2010 Avg: 3.54 Pts/Game) and Sidney Rice (2010 Avg: 4.33 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Zach Miller (2010 Avg: 4.28 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Robert Gallery, James Carpenter, John Moffitt, Max Unger and Russell Okung have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Jeff Reed (2010 Avg: 8.00 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Carlson playes this year (108 - 101 - 0 0.517%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (107 - 103 - 0 0.510%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,608) compared to this season's teams (4,461) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Carlson surprisingly had a higher fantasy avg (2.04 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (0.84 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be an indication of a higher fantasy average.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Carlson faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.08 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.38 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (286 yds/game including 2 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (265 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Carlson has been a strong finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (4.67 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (4.07 pts per game), 2nd quarter (2.40 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (2.04 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 14 (8.33 pts per game), week 1 (7.05 pts per game) and week 15 (5.22 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 5 (0.78 pts per game), week 11 (0.88 pts per game) and week 4 (1.35 pts per game).
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