Player Fantasy Projection
Mike Tolbert 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Mike Tolbert Bio & Career Stats
Position: Running Back
243Mike Tolbert FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Douglas County HS [Douglasville, GA]
|Mike Tolbert 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Rush Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Mike Tolbert Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Mike Tolbert 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Mike Tolbert has been below his fantasy projection 6 out of 8 years, including the last 5. His best fantasy RB ranking was #17 in 2010.
Tolbert beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending down 3 out of the last 5 years.
, and he was ranked the 240th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Tolbert is entering his 9th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 9th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.29 from their 8th year.
Throughout his career Tolbert has averaged 0.79 fantasy pts per game less than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2015 was 5.60.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.525) pts per game for Tolbert. At the Wide Receiver position: Ted Ginn (2015 Avg: 7.35 Pts/Game) and Corey Brown (2015 Avg: 3.58 Pts/Game) are no longer starting, Devin Funchess (2015 Avg: 3.83 Pts/Game) is now starting and Kelvin Benjamin has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: J.J. Jansen has left the team.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Tolbert plays this year (103 - 89 - 0 0.536%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (92 - 116 - 0 0.442%), and last season's teams gave up more points (5,055) compared to this season's teams (4,276) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Tolbert had a lower fantasy avg (2.94 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (3.80 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Tolbert will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.33 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.92 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more rushing yards (113 yds/game - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to this season's teams (106 yds/game - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Tolbert has been a strong finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (5.63 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (5.46 pts per game), 1st quarter (5.26 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (4.99 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 7 (7.04 pts per game), week 15 (6.91 pts per game) and week 2 (6.33 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 16 (2.25 pts per game), week 10 (3.28 pts per game) and week 5 (3.95 pts per game).