Dustin Keller Fantasy Ranking & Outlook  
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Dustin Keller Bio & Career Stats

Dustin Keller picture
Jersey: #81
Position: Tight End
Career: 3 Years
Height: 6-2
Weight: 248
Dustin Keller FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: Sep 25, 1984
Birth Place: Lafayette, IN
High School: Jefferson HS [Lafayette, IN]
College: Purdue
Drafted: 2008 New York Jets (Round: 1 #30)

Tight End Rankings:
<< Owen Daniels    Jermichael Finley >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Dustin Keller 2011 Fantasy Projection
2011 Pts 2011 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2010 Avg 2010 Fantasy Ranking 2010 Consistency
50.61 3.23 1 15.50 4.02 11 Average
2011 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2011 Better Defenses in 2011 Better Pass Defenses in 2011 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
8 No No No No Yes Yes No Yes Yes
Dustin Keller Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2010 Jets1655687500000064.354.02
2009 Jets1645522200700038.802.43
2008 Jets1648535300000044.752.80
Dustin Keller 2011 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Dustin Keller has beaten his fantasy projection 2 out of 3 years. His best fantasy TE ranking was #9 in 2010, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 20 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Keller beat his previous year fantasy game average last year.
Player Consistency:
Dustin Keller was ranked the 41st most consistent TE last year, and he was ranked the 278th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Keller is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 4th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.06 from their 3rd year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Keller has averaged 0.76 fantasy pts per game more than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2010 was 2.38.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.594) pts per game for Keller. At the Quarterback position: Mark Sanchez (2010 Avg: 15.25 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Shonn Greene (2010 Avg: 6.31 Pts/Game) and John Conner (2010 Avg: 0.68 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Plaxico Burress and Santonio Holmes (2010 Avg: 6.25 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Wayne Hunter, D'Brickashaw Ferguson, Nick Mangold, Brandon Moore and Matt Slauson have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Nicholas Folk (2010 Avg: 7.94 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Keller playes this year (107 - 102 - 0 0.512%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (100 - 109 - 0 0.478%), but this season's teams gave up more points (4,830) compared to last season's teams (4,484) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Keller had a lower fantasy avg (3.48 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (4.35 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be an indication of less points.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Keller faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.46 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.38 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses), but last season's teams gave up more passing yards (276 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (274 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Keller has been a quick starter, and a slow finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (6.68 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (3.15 pts per game), 2nd quarter (2.60 pts per game) and 4th quarter (1.27 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 3 (8.72 pts per game), week 4 (7.38 pts per game) and week 2 (6.60 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 7 (0.80 pts per game), week 14 (0.85 pts per game) and week 15 (1.45 pts per game).
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