Player Fantasy Projection
Justin Forsett 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Justin Forsett Bio & Career Stats
Position: Running Back
194Justin Forsett FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Grace Preparatory Academy [Arlington, TX]
Drafted: 2008 Seattle Seahawks
(Round: 7 #233)
|Justin Forsett 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Rush Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Justin Forsett Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Justin Forsett 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Justin Forsett has been below his fantasy projection 5 out of 8 years. His best fantasy RB ranking was #8 in 2014.
Forsett fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending down 3 out of the past 5 years.
, and he was ranked the 112th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Forsett is entering his 9th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 9th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.29 from their 8th year.
Throughout his career Forsett has averaged 0.89 fantasy pts per game less than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2015 was 5.60.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.583) pts per game for Forsett. At the Quarterback position: Ryan Mallett (2015 Avg: 12.76 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Joe Flacco (2015 Avg: 20.19 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Javorius Allen (2015 Avg: 5.45 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Lorenzo Taliaferro (2015 Avg: 4.05 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Chris Givens (2015 Avg: 2.31 Pts/Game) has left the team and Steve Smith (2015 Avg: 7.36 Pts/Game) and Mike Wallace (2015 Avg: 2.59 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Maxx Williams (2015 Avg: 1.62 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Benjamin Watson (2015 Avg: 4.83 Pts/Game) and Crockett Gillmore (2015 Avg: 4.46 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: John Urschel is no longer starting, Morgan Cox and Kelechi Osemele have left the team and Jeremy Zuttah, Eugene Monroe and Ronnie Stanley have been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Forsett played last year (105 - 103 - 0 0.505%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (99 - 109 - 0 0.476%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,879) compared to last season's teams (4,554) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Forsett had a lower fantasy avg (8.01 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (8.62 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be a indication of a better fantasy season.
From a defensive standpoint, Forsett faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.69 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 20.69 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and this season's teams gave up more rushing yards (111 yds/game - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (105 yds/game - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Forsett has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (8.26 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (5.50 pts per game), 1st quarter (4.81 pts per game) and 4th quarter (4.69 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 12 (11.92 pts per game), week 10 (10.93 pts per game) and week 6 (6.68 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 16 (2.62 pts per game), week 9 (2.63 pts per game) and week 8 (3.24 pts per game).