Spencer Larsen Fantasy Ranking & Outlook  
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Spencer Larsen Bio & Career Stats

Spencer Larsen picture
Jersey: #46
Position: Running Back
Career: 4 Years
Height: 6-2
Weight: 240
Spencer Larsen FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: Mar 4, 1984
Birth Place: Mesa, AZ
High School: Highland HS [Gilbert, AZ]
College: Arizona
Drafted: 2008 Denver Broncos (Round: 6 #183)

Running Back Rankings:
<< Lousaka Polite    Jehuu Caulcrick >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Spencer Larsen 2011 Fantasy Projection
2011 Pts 2011 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2010 Avg 2010 Fantasy Ranking 2010 Consistency
14.47 1.21 1 3.67 0.80 100 --
2011 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2011 Better Defenses in 2011 Better Rush Defenses in 2011 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
6 No Yes No No No No Yes No No
Spencer Larsen Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2011 Broncos243800040002.301.15
2010 Broncos135511001800010.350.80
2009 Broncos90000000000.000.00
2008 Broncos140000000000.000.00
Spencer Larsen 2011 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Spencer Larsen has been below his fantasy projection 3 straight years. His best fantasy RB ranking was #103 in 2010.
Fantasy Trends:
Larsen fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year.
Career Experience Outlook:
Larsen is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 4th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.15 from their 3rd year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Larsen has averaged 5.46 fantasy pts per game less than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2010 was 5.53.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.4025) pts per game for Larsen. At the Quarterback position: Kyle Orton (2010 Avg: 19.42 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Knowshon Moreno (2010 Avg: 11.12 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Brandon Lloyd (2010 Avg: 8.54 Pts/Game) and Eddie Royal (2010 Avg: 3.47 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Daniel Fells (2010 Avg: 1.97 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Chris Kuper, Ryan Clady, Zane Beadles, J.D. Walton and Orlando Franklin have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Matt Prater (2010 Avg: 5.43 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Larsen played last year (107 - 102 - 0 0.512%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (106 - 102 - 0 0.510%), but last season's teams gave up more points (4,649) compared to this season's teams (4,326) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Larsen had a better fantasy avg (1.14 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (0.27 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Larsen doing better against teams with a worse record.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Larsen will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.31 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.15 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), but this season's teams gave up more rushing yards (146 yds/game - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (145 yds/game - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Larsen has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (1.68 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (0.78 pts per game), 1st quarter (0.20 pts per game) and 4th quarter (0.00 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 10 (3.93 pts per game), week 12 (0.28 pts per game) and week 13 ( pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 12 (0.28 pts per game), week 10 (3.93 pts per game).
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