Player Fantasy Projection
Kellen Davis 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Kellen Davis Bio & Career Stats
Position: Tight End
262Kellen Davis FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Adrian HS [Adrain, MI]
Drafted: 2008 Chicago Bears
(Round: 5 #158)
|Kellen Davis 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Kellen Davis Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Kellen Davis 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Kellen Davis has been below his fantasy projection 6 out of 8 years, including the last 4. His best fantasy TE ranking was #27 in 2011.
Davis beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending down 3 out of the last 5 years.
Career Experience Outlook:
Davis is entering his 9th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 9th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.52 from their 8th year.
Throughout his career Davis has averaged 1.64 fantasy pts per game less than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2015 was 3.00.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.13) pts per game for Davis. At the Quarterback position: Ryan Fitzpatrick (2015 Avg: 20.45 Pts/Game) has left the team and Geno Smith (2015 Avg: 22.65 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Chris Ivory (2015 Avg: 11.06 Pts/Game) has left the team and Matt Forte (2015 Avg: 11.63 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Jeff Cumberland (2015 Avg: .64 Pts/Game) has left the team and Jace Amaro has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: D'Brickashaw Ferguson and Tanner Purdum have left the team and Ryan Clady has been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Randy Bullock (2015 Avg: 7.18 Pts/Game) has left the team and Nicholas Folk (2015 Avg: 8.29 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Davis plays this year (103 - 89 - 0 0.536%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (87 - 121 - 0 0.418%), and last season's teams gave up more points (5,111) compared to this season's teams (4,166) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Davis had a lower fantasy avg (0.00 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (1.15 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Davis will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.75 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 21.08 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (251 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (244 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Davis has been a quick starter, and a slow finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (3.64 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (2.88 pts per game), 3rd quarter (2.44 pts per game) and 4th quarter (1.15 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 8 (6.33 pts per game), week 2 (4.98 pts per game) and week 11 (4.68 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 9 (-0.02 pts per game), week 15 (0.32 pts per game) and week 13 (0.80 pts per game).