Wes Welker Fantasy Ranking & Outlook  
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Wes Welker Bio & Career Stats

Wes Welker picture
Jersey: #83
Position: Wide Receiver
Career: 8 Years
Height: 5-9
Weight: 185
Wes Welker FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: May 1, 1981
Birth Place: Oklahoma City, OK
High School: Heritage Hall School [Oklahoma City, OK]
College: Texas Tech
Drafted: Undrafted

Wide Receiver Rankings:
<< Mike Thomas    Plaxico Burress >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Wes Welker 2011 Fantasy Projection
2011 Pts 2011 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2010 Avg 2010 Fantasy Ranking 2010 Consistency
36.35 4.39 2 14.50 5.69 25 Consistent
2011 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2011 Better Defenses in 2011 Better Pass Defenses in 2011 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
7 No No No Yes Yes No No No No
Wes Welker Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2010 Patriots1586848700000185.405.69
2009 Patriots1412313484003600095.006.79
2008 Patriots1611111653002600078.854.93
Wes Welker 2011 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Wes Welker has beaten his fantasy projection 4 out of 7 years, but he was below his projection last year. His best fantasy WR ranking was #12 in 2007, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 25 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Welker fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending up 3 out of the last 5 years.
Player Consistency:
Wes Welker was ranked the 46th most consistent WR last year, and he was ranked the 173rd most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Welker is entering his 8th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 8th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.01 from their 7th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Welker has averaged 0.31 fantasy pts per game more than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2010 was 3.99.
Depth Chart Change:
Welker has dropped from 1st to 2nd on the depth chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.11) pts per game for Welker. At the Quarterback position: Tom Brady (2010 Avg: 19.50 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Danny Woodhead (2010 Avg: 8.14 Pts/Game) and BenJarvus Green-Ellis (2010 Avg: 11.44 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Deion Branch (2010 Avg: 5.94 Pts/Game) and Chad Johnson (2010 Avg: 4.68 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Rob Gronkowski (2010 Avg: 5.46 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Dan Connolly, Dan Koppen, Matt Light, Logan Mankins and Sebastian Vollmer have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Stephen Gostkowski (2010 Avg: 3.50 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Welker played last year (108 - 100 - 0 0.519%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (108 - 101 - 0 0.517%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,707) compared to last season's teams (4,199) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Welker had a better fantasy avg (5.38 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (5.30 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Welker doing better against teams with a worse record.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Welker faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 12.54 - 7 Top 10 Defenses and 4 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.00 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 5 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Welker has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (6.35 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (4.91 pts per game), 1st quarter (4.19 pts per game) and 4th quarter (3.78 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 6 (8.61 pts per game), week 7 (7.53 pts per game) and week 1 (6.30 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 3 (2.76 pts per game), week 4 (3.11 pts per game) and week 15 (3.18 pts per game).
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