Player Fantasy Projection
Steve Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Steve Smith Bio & Career Stats
Position: Wide Receiver
185Steve Smith FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Los Angeles, CA
University HS [Los Angeles, CA]
Drafted: 2001 Carolina Panthers
(Round: 3 #74)
|Steve Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Steve Smith Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Steve Smith 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Steve Smith has been below his fantasy projection 8 out of 15 years, but he was above his projection the last 2. His best fantasy WR ranking was #1 in 2005, and he has had a total of 4 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Smith's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 2 years, and has been trending up 3 out of the past 5 years.
Career Experience Outlook:
Smith is entering his 16th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, WRs in their 16th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 2.2 from their 15th year.
Throughout his career Smith has averaged 2.01 fantasy pts per game more than the league WR average. The average fantasy pts per game by WRs in 2015 was 4.23.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart. Coming off an Injury.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.603) pts per game for Smith. At the Quarterback position: Ryan Mallett (2015 Avg: 12.76 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Joe Flacco (2015 Avg: 20.19 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Javorius Allen (2015 Avg: 5.45 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Justin Forsett (2015 Avg: 8.38 Pts/Game) and Lorenzo Taliaferro (2015 Avg: 4.05 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Chris Givens (2015 Avg: 2.31 Pts/Game) has left the team and Mike Wallace (2015 Avg: 2.59 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Maxx Williams (2015 Avg: 1.62 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Benjamin Watson (2015 Avg: 4.83 Pts/Game) and Crockett Gillmore (2015 Avg: 4.46 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: John Urschel is no longer starting, Morgan Cox and Kelechi Osemele have left the team and Jeremy Zuttah, Eugene Monroe and Ronnie Stanley have been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Smith played last year (105 - 103 - 0 0.505%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (99 - 109 - 0 0.476%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,879) compared to last season's teams (4,554) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Smith had a lower fantasy avg (6.76 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (8.15 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be a indication of a better fantasy season.
From a defensive standpoint, Smith faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.69 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 20.69 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (256 yds/game including 1 Top 10 Defense and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (244 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Smith has been a quick starter. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (6.80 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (6.66 pts per game), 4th quarter (5.88 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (4.83 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 6 (8.74 pts per game), week 1 (7.49 pts per game) and week 3 (6.91 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 9 (4.37 pts per game), week 10 (4.56 pts per game) and week 12 (4.69 pts per game).