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| Jason Witten 2011 Fantasy Projection |
| 2011 Pts |
2011 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2010 Avg |
2010 Fantasy Ranking |
2010 Consistency |
| 85.92 |
5.37 |
1 |
16.00 |
6.51 |
2 |
Consistent |
| 2011 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2011 |
Better Defenses in 2011 |
Better Pass Defenses in 2011 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 5 |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
No |
| Jason Witten Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2010 | Cowboys | 16 | 94 | 1002 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 104.10 | 6.51 |
| 2009 | Cowboys | 16 | 94 | 1030 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63.50 | 3.97 |
| 2008 | Cowboys | 16 | 81 | 952 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73.70 | 4.61 |
| Jason Witten 2011 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Jason Witten has been below his fantasy projection 5 out of 8 years, but he beat his projection last year. His best fantasy TE ranking was #1 in 2010, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 3 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Witten beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending down 3 out of the last 5 years.
Player Consistency:
Jason Witten was one of the top 5 most consistent TEs last year (ranked 5), and he was ranked the 111th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Witten is entering his 9th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 9th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.25 from their 8th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Witten has averaged 2.23 fantasy pts per game more than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2010 was 2.38.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.282) pts per game for Witten. At the Quarterback position: Tony Romo (2010 Avg: 14.63 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Felix Jones (2010 Avg: 7.16 Pts/Game) and Chris Gronkowski (2010 Avg: 0.68 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Miles Austin (2010 Avg: 6.83 Pts/Game) and Dez Bryant (2010 Avg: 4.00 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Doug Free, Andre Gurode, Montrae Holland, Kyle Kosier and Tyron Smith have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: David Buehler (2010 Avg: 7.13 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Witten played last year (106 - 103 - 0 0.507%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (104 - 105 - 0 0.498%), but last season's teams gave up more points (4,671) compared to this season's teams (4,646) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Witten had a better fantasy avg (6.58 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (6.43 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Witten doing better against teams with a worse record.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Witten will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.85 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.08 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (284 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to this season's teams (272 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Witten has been a strong finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (5.56 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (4.94 pts per game), 1st quarter (4.24 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (3.34 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 14 (6.36 pts per game), week 3 (6.31 pts per game) and week 5 (5.50 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 11 (1.67 pts per game), week 1 (3.16 pts per game) and week 6 (3.22 pts per game).
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