Player Fantasy Projection
Matt Spaeth 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Matt Spaeth Bio & Career Stats
Position: Tight End
270Matt Spaeth FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
St. Michael-Albertville HS [St. Michael, MN]
Drafted: 2007 Pittsburgh Steelers
(Round: 3 #77)
|Matt Spaeth 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Matt Spaeth Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Matt Spaeth 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Matt Spaeth has been below his fantasy projection 6 out of 9 years, including the last 2. His best fantasy TE ranking was #38 in 2007.
Spaeth's fantasy game average per year has been going down for 2 years, and has been trending down 3 out of the past 5 years.
Career Experience Outlook:
Spaeth is entering his 10th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 10th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.13 from their 9th year.
Throughout his career Spaeth has averaged 1.60 fantasy pts per game less than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2015 was 3.00.
Depth Chart Change:
Spaeth has moved up from 2nd to 1st on the depth chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.21125) pts per game for Spaeth. At the Running Back/Full Back position: DeAngelo Williams (2015 Avg: 10.94 Pts/Game) is no longer starting, Will Johnson (2015 Avg: 3.75 Pts/Game) has left the team and Le'Veon Bell (2015 Avg: 13.40 Pts/Game) and Roosevelt Nix (2015 Avg: .40 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Heath Miller (2015 Avg: 2.78 Pts/Game) has left the team and Ladarius Green (2015 Avg: 3.50 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Cody Wallace is no longer starting, Greg Warren has left the team and Maurkice Pouncey has been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Chris Boswell (2015 Avg: 9.42 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Shaun Suisham has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Spaeth played last year (109 - 99 - 0 0.524%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (101 - 107 - 0 0.486%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,809) compared to last season's teams (4,522) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Spaeth had a better fantasy avg (0.25 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (0 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Spaeth doing better against teams with a worse record.
From a defensive standpoint, Spaeth faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.62 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.69 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (250 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (239 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Spaeth has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (1.45 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (1.32 pts per game), 4th quarter (0.82 pts per game) and 2nd quarter (0.72 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 9 (3.04 pts per game), week 7 (2.32 pts per game) and week 2 (2.20 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 4 (0.00 pts per game), week 6 (0.00 pts per game) and week 13 (0.05 pts per game).