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| Heath Miller 2011 Fantasy Projection |
| 2011 Pts |
2011 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2010 Avg |
2010 Fantasy Ranking |
2010 Consistency |
| 31.38 |
2.19 |
1 |
10.67 |
2.69 |
28 |
Consistent |
| 2011 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2011 |
Better Defenses in 2011 |
Better Pass Defenses in 2011 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 11 |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
| Heath Miller Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2011 | Steelers | 2 | 4 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.90 | 1.45 |
| 2010 | Steelers | 14 | 42 | 512 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37.60 | 2.69 |
| 2009 | Steelers | 16 | 76 | 789 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75.45 | 4.72 |
| 2008 | Steelers | 14 | 48 | 514 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57.50 | 3.12 |
| Heath Miller 2011 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Heath Miller was below his projection last year. His best fantasy TE ranking was #7 in 2007, and he has had a total of 4 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Miller fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending down 3 out of the past 5 years.
Player Consistency:
Heath Miller was one of the top 25 most consistent TEs last year (ranked 22), and he was ranked the 209th most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Miller is entering his 7th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 7th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.15 from their 6th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Miller has averaged 1.36 fantasy pts per game more than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2010 was 2.38.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.652) pts per game for Miller. At the Quarterback position: Ben Roethlisberger (2010 Avg: 20.05 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Rashard Mendenhall (2010 Avg: 13.35 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Hines Ward (2010 Avg: 4.22 Pts/Game) and Mike Wallace (2010 Avg: 7.92 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Willie Colon, Chris Kemoeatu, Jonathan Scott, Maurkice Pouncey and Ramon Foster have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Shaun Suisham (2010 Avg: 8.71 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Miller played last year (107 - 101 - 0 0.514%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (100 - 109 - 0 0.478%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,737) compared to last season's teams (4,358) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Miller had a lower fantasy avg (1.46 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (3.04 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be a indication of a better fantasy season.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Miller faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.15 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 21.77), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (300 yds/game) compared to last season's teams (271 yds/game including 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Miller has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (5.84 pts per game), followed by the 4th quarter (3.11 pts per game), 1st quarter (3.11 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (2.88 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 6 (7.23 pts per game), week 5 (6.81 pts per game) and week 7 (5.63 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 2 (0.90 pts per game), week 9 (1.84 pts per game) and week 3 (1.98 pts per game).
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