Player Fantasy Projection
Vernon Davis 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Vernon Davis Bio & Career Stats
Position: Tight End
253Vernon Davis FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Dunbar HS [Washington, DC]
Drafted: 2006 San Francisco 49ers
(Round: 1 #6)
|Vernon Davis 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Vernon Davis Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Vernon Davis 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Vernon Davis has been below his fantasy projection 6 out of 10 years, including the last 2. His best fantasy TE ranking was #1 in 2009, and he has had a total of 2 seasons with a top 3 ranking.
Davis beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending down 3 out of the last 5 years.
, and he was ranked the 103rd most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Davis is entering his 11th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, TEs in their 11th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.29 from their 10th year.
Throughout his career Davis has averaged 1.70 fantasy pts per game more than the league TE average. The average fantasy pts per game by TEs in 2015 was 3.00.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart. He has changed teams since last year moving from the Broncos to the Redskins.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a higher fantasy average of (0.27) pts per game for Davis. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Darrel Young (2015 Avg: .28 Pts/Game) and Alfred Morris (2015 Avg: 5.24 Pts/Game) have left the team, Matt Jones (2015 Avg: 6.78 Pts/Game) is now starting and Joe Kerridge has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Jamison Crowder (2015 Avg: 2.65 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Niles Paul has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Josh LeRibeus is no longer starting, Nick Sundberg has left the team and Kory Lichtensteiger, Spencer Long, Morgan Moses and Brandon Scherff have been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Davis plays this year (109 - 99 - 0 0.524%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (106 - 102 - 0 0.510%), but this season's teams gave up more points (4,720) compared to last season's teams (4,660) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Davis had a lower fantasy avg (1.43 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (2.78 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Davis faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.23 - 3 Top 10 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.69 - 3 Top 10 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (245 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to last season's teams (243 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Davis has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (5.42 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (4.68 pts per game), 4th quarter (3.99 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (3.79 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 5 (7.18 pts per game), week 6 (6.04 pts per game) and week 1 (6.02 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 10 (2.53 pts per game), week 2 (2.93 pts per game) and week 9 (2.99 pts per game).