Player Fantasy Projection
Adrian Peterson 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Adrian Peterson Bio & Career Stats
Position: Running Back
217Adrian Peterson FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Palestine HS [TX]
Drafted: 2007 Minnesota Vikings
(Round: 1 #7)
|Adrian Peterson 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Rush Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Adrian Peterson Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Adrian Peterson 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Adrian Peterson has beaten his fantasy projection 5 out of 9 years. His best fantasy RB ranking was #1 in 2012 and 2015, and he has had a total of 6 seasons with a top 3 ranking.
Peterson beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending down 3 out of the last 5 years.
, and he was one of the top 100 most consistent players overall (ranked 77).
Career Experience Outlook:
Peterson is entering his 10th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 10th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.71 from their 9th year.
Throughout his career Peterson has averaged 9.03 fantasy pts per game more than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2015 was 5.60.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.026) pts per game for Peterson. At the Wide Receiver position: Mike Wallace (2015 Avg: 2.59 Pts/Game) has left the team and Laquon Treadwell has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: MyCole Pruitt (2015 Avg: .64 Pts/Game) is now starting. Along the Offenisve Line: Joe Berger, Michael Harris and T.J. Clemmings are no longer starting, Kevin McDermott has left the team and Phil Loadholt, Alex Boone and John Sullivan have been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Peterson played last year (106 - 102 - 0 0.510%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (102 - 106 - 0 0.490%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,958) compared to last season's teams (4,594) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Peterson had a lower fantasy avg (10.08 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (16.51 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be a indication of a better fantasy season.
From a defensive standpoint, Peterson faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.69 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.69 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more rushing yards (113 yds/game - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (108 yds/game - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Peterson has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (17.83 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (16.00 pts per game), 2nd quarter (15.33 pts per game) and 4th quarter (13.11 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 9 (27.28 pts per game), week 10 (18.14 pts per game) and week 13 (18.11 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 11 (8.63 pts per game), week 14 (11.61 pts per game) and week 16 (11.89 pts per game).