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Adrian Peterson 2017 Fantasy Projection And Ranking

Adrian Peterson Bio & Career Stats

Adrian Peterson picture
Jersey: #28
Position: Running Back
Career: 10 Years
Height: 6-1
Weight: 217
Adrian Peterson FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: ,
Birth Place: Palestine, TX
High School: Palestine HS [TX]
College: Oklahoma
Drafted: 2007 Minnesota Vikings (Round: 1 #7)

Running Back Rankings:
<< Carlos Hyde    DeMarco Murray >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Adrian Peterson 2017 Fantasy Projection
2017 Pts 2017 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2016 Avg 2016 Fantasy Ranking 2016 Consistency
120.01 10.17 1 9.50 -- -- --
2017 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2017 Better Defenses in 2017 Better Rush Defenses in 2017 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
5 No No Yes No Yes No No No No
Adrian Peterson Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2016 Vikings338000720007.602.53
2015 Vikings163022200014851100225.6014.10
2014 Vikings1218000750008.408.40
Adrian Peterson 2017 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Adrian Peterson was below his projection last year. His best fantasy RB ranking was #1 in 2012 and 2015, and he has had a total of 6 seasons with a top 3 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Peterson fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending down 3 out of the past 5 years.
Career Experience Outlook:
Peterson is entering his 11th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 11th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.26 from their 10th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Peterson has averaged 7.76 fantasy pts per game more than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2016 was 6.14.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart. Coming off an Injury.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.224) pts per game for Peterson. At the Quarterback position: Drew Brees (2016 Avg: 24.08 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: John Kuhn (2016 Avg: 2.86 Pts/Game) and Mark Ingram (2016 Avg: 11.27 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Willie Snead (2016 Avg: 4.95 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Coby Fleener (2016 Avg: 3.48 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Zach Strief, Max Unger, Justin Drescher, Tim Lelito and Terron Armstead have been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Peterson plays this year have the same winning percentage (0.500%) as the teams on last year's schedule, but this season's teams gave up more points (4,861) compared to last season's teams (4,711) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
There was not much difference last year in the fantasy average Peterson had against winning teams (2.68 pts/game) and losing teams (2.25 pts/game), so there are no clear trends to be learned from the winning percentage of the schedule.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Peterson faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.38 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.77 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and this season's teams gave up more rushing yards (110 yds/game - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (102 yds/game - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Peterson has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (17.83 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (15.33 pts per game), 1st quarter (15.22 pts per game) and 4th quarter (12.82 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 9 (27.28 pts per game), week 10 (18.14 pts per game) and week 13 (18.11 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 11 (8.63 pts per game), week 15 (11.51 pts per game) and week 14 (11.61 pts per game).
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