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| Adrian Peterson 2011 Fantasy Projection |
| 2011 Pts |
2011 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2010 Avg |
2010 Fantasy Ranking |
2010 Consistency |
| 227.10 |
15.06 |
1 |
15.50 |
14.99 |
3 |
Consistent |
| 2011 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2011 |
Better Defenses in 2011 |
Better Rush Defenses in 2011 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 9 |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
| Adrian Peterson Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2010 | Vikings | 15 | 36 | 341 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1298 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 224.85 | 14.99 |
| 2009 | Vikings | 16 | 43 | 436 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1389 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 268.70 | 16.79 |
| 2008 | Vikings | 16 | 21 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1760 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 262.55 | 15.14 |
| Adrian Peterson 2011 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Adrian Peterson has beaten his fantasy projection 3 out of 4 years, but he was below his projection last year. His best fantasy RB ranking was #2 in 2010 and 2009, and he has had a total of 4 seasons with a top 3 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Peterson fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending down 2 out of the past 3 years.
Player Consistency:
Adrian Peterson was one of the top 25 most consistent RBs last year (ranked 18), and he was one of the top 75 most consistent players overall (ranked 75).
Career Experience Outlook:
Peterson is entering his 5th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 5th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.47 from their 4th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Peterson has averaged 10.10 fantasy pts per game more than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2010 was 5.53.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.247) pts per game for Peterson. At the Quarterback position: Donovan McNabb (2010 Avg: 17.38 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Ryan D'Imperio has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Bernard Berrian (2010 Avg: 0.84 Pts/Game) and Percy Harvin (2010 Avg: 6.44 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Visanthe Shiancoe (2010 Avg: 2.41 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Charlie Johnson, Steve Hutchinson, John Sullivan, Phil Loadholt and Chris DeGeare have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Ryan Longwell (2010 Avg: 5.06 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Peterson played last year (112 - 97 - 0 0.536%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (106 - 104 - 0 0.505%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,573) compared to last season's teams (4,516) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Peterson had a lower fantasy avg (10.37 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (18.79 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be a indication of a better fantasy season.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Peterson faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.23 - 7 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.31 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and this season's teams gave up more rushing yards (158 yds/game - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (146 yds/game - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Peterson has been a quick starter, and a slow finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (17.11 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (17.07 pts per game), 2nd quarter (16.44 pts per game) and 4th quarter (13.30 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 9 (30.57 pts per game), week 1 (20.61 pts per game) and week 6 (20.09 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 11 (8.45 pts per game), week 14 (9.46 pts per game) and week 5 (10.88 pts per game).
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