Ovie Mughelli Fantasy Ranking & Outlook  
players teams years fantasy rankings stat leaders schedules injury reports

Ovie Mughelli Bio & Career Stats

Ovie Mughelli picture
Jersey: #34
Position: Running Back
Career: 8 Years
Height: 6-1
Weight: 254
Ovie Mughelli FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: Jun 10, 1980
Birth Place: Boston, MA
High School: Porter-Gaud School [Charleston, SC]
College: Wake Forest
Drafted: 2003 Baltimore Ravens (Round: 4 #134)

Running Back Rankings:
<< LaRod Stephens-Howling    Chris Gronkowski >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Ovie Mughelli 2011 Fantasy Projection
2011 Pts 2011 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2010 Avg 2010 Fantasy Ranking 2010 Consistency
21.55 1.68 1 11.50 0.99 92 Very Inconsistent
2011 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2011 Better Defenses in 2011 Better Rush Defenses in 2011 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
8 No No No No No Yes No No No
Ovie Mughelli Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2010 Falcons16131261003600015.900.99
2009 Falcons14751100100009.550.68
2008 Falcons16857000160004.450.28
Ovie Mughelli 2011 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Ovie Mughelli has been below his fantasy projection 7 out of 8 years, including the last 4. His best fantasy RB ranking was #70 in 2006.
Fantasy Trends:
Mughelli's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 2 years, and has been trending up 3 out of the past 5 years.
Player Consistency:
Ovie Mughelli was ranked the 83rd most consistent RB last year, and he was ranked the 301st most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Mughelli is entering his 9th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 9th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.19 from their 8th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Mughelli has averaged 5.15 fantasy pts per game less than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2010 was 5.53.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.135) pts per game for Mughelli. At the Quarterback position: Matt Ryan (2010 Avg: 17.59 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Michael Turner (2010 Avg: 13.33 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Roddy White (2010 Avg: 8.11 Pts/Game) and Julio Jones have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Tony Gonzalez (2010 Avg: 4.30 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Justin Blalock, Tyson Clabo, Todd McClure, Sam Baker and Garrett Reynolds have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Matt Bryant (2010 Avg: 8.00 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Mughelli playes this year (103 - 105 - 0 0.495%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (102 - 107 - 0 0.488%), but this season's teams gave up more points (4,633) compared to last season's teams (4,407) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Mughelli surprisingly had a higher fantasy avg (1.44 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (0.54 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of a higher fantasy average.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Mughelli faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.85 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.77 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 0 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more rushing yards (147 yds/game - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to last season's teams (146 yds/game - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Mughelli has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (1.28 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (1.18 pts per game), 4th quarter (1.09 pts per game) and 2nd quarter (0.14 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 1 (2.47 pts per game), week 10 (2.20 pts per game) and week 9 (1.98 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 8 (0.03 pts per game), week 6 (0.04 pts per game) and week 4 (0.15 pts per game).
Chart.


Chart.


Chart.