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| Willis McGahee 2011 Fantasy Projection |
| 2011 Pts |
2011 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2010 Avg |
2010 Fantasy Ranking |
2010 Consistency |
| 49.47 |
5.91 |
2 |
15.00 |
5.12 |
45 |
Average |
| 2011 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2011 |
Better Defenses in 2011 |
Better Rush Defenses in 2011 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 6 |
Yes |
Yes |
No |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
| Willis McGahee Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2010 | Ravens | 15 | 14 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 380 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 76.75 | 5.12 |
| 2009 | Ravens | 16 | 15 | 85 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 544 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 142.65 | 8.92 |
| 2008 | Ravens | 13 | 24 | 173 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 671 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 146.45 | 11.27 |
| Willis McGahee 2011 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Willis McGahee has been below his fantasy projection 6 out of 8 years, including the last 3. His best fantasy RB ranking was #8 in 2007, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 15 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
McGahee's fantasy game average per year has been going down for 3 years, and has been trending down 5 out of the past 7 years.
Player Consistency:
Willis McGahee was ranked the 54th most consistent RB last year, and he was ranked the 171st most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
McGahee is entering his 9th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, RBs in their 9th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.19 from their 8th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career McGahee has averaged 3.11 fantasy pts per game more than the league RB average. The average fantasy pts per game by RBs in 2010 was 5.53.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart. He has changed teams since last year moving from the Ravens to the Broncos.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.15) pts per game for McGahee. At the Quarterback position: Kyle Orton (2010 Avg: 19.42 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Spencer Larsen (2010 Avg: 0.80 Pts/Game) and Knowshon Moreno (2010 Avg: 11.12 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Brandon Lloyd (2010 Avg: 8.54 Pts/Game) and Eddie Royal (2010 Avg: 3.47 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Daniel Fells (2010 Avg: 1.97 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Chris Kuper, Ryan Clady, Zane Beadles, J.D. Walton and Orlando Franklin have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Matt Prater (2010 Avg: 5.43 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule McGahee playes this year (106 - 102 - 0 0.510%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (103 - 106 - 0 0.493%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,551) compared to this season's teams (4,326) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
McGahee had a lower fantasy avg (3.42 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (5.87 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, McGahee will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.31 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.92 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more rushing yards (149 yds/game - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (146 yds/game - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career McGahee has been a quick starter. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (10.96 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (10.12 pts per game), 4th quarter (9.73 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (9.45 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 3 (13.44 pts per game), week 8 (12.29 pts per game) and week 12 (11.91 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 15 (5.81 pts per game), week 11 (6.59 pts per game) and week 5 (7.90 pts per game).
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