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Player Fantasy Projection

Alex Smith 2017 Fantasy Projection And Ranking

Alex Smith Bio & Career Stats

Alex Smith picture
Jersey: #11
Position: Quarterback
Career: 12 Years
Height: 6-4
Weight: 210
Alex Smith FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: ,
Birth Place: Seattle, WA
High School: Helix HS [La Mesa, CA]
College: Utah
Drafted: 2005 San Francisco 49ers (Round: 1 #1)

Quarterback Rankings:
<< Sam Bradford    Eli Manning >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Alex Smith 2017 Fantasy Projection
2017 Pts 2017 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2016 Avg 2016 Fantasy Ranking 2016 Consistency
240.90 15.88 1 15.50 17.58 23 --
2017 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2017 Better Defenses in 2017 Better Pass Defenses in 2017 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
10 No No No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes
Alex Smith Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2016 Chiefs15130350215134500263.6517.58
2015 Chiefs16000348620498200296.1018.51
2014 Chiefs15000326518254100248.6516.58
Alex Smith 2017 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Alex Smith has beaten his fantasy projection 7 out of 12 years, including the last 2. His best fantasy QB ranking was #16 in 2013, and he has had a total of 5 seasons with a top 20 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Smith fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending down 3 out of the past 5 years.
Player Consistency:
, and he was one of the top 50 most consistent players overall (ranked 31).
Career Experience Outlook:
Smith is entering his 13th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 13th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.65 from their 12th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Smith has averaged 2.82 fantasy pts per game less than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2016 was 16.86.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.9) pts per game for Smith.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Smith plays this year (116 - 76 - 1 0.604%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (104 - 104 - 0 0.500%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,970) compared to this season's teams (4,096) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Smith had a lower fantasy avg (16.92 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (18.56 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Smith will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.58 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.08 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (245 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (237 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Smith has been a quick starter. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (15.43 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (15.30 pts per game), 4th quarter (14.28 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (13.39 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 1 (17.66 pts per game), week 3 (16.76 pts per game) and week 5 (16.72 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 10 (11.21 pts per game), week 9 (11.88 pts per game) and week 6 (13.01 pts per game).
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