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Alex Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking

Alex Smith Bio & Career Stats

Alex Smith picture
Jersey: #11
Position: Quarterback
Career: 12 Years
Height: 6-4
Weight: 210
Alex Smith FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: ,
Birth Place: Seattle, WA
High School: Helix HS [La Mesa, CA]
College: Utah
Drafted: 2005 San Francisco 49ers (Round: 1 #1)

Quarterback Rankings:
<< Andy Dalton    Kellen Moore >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Alex Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection
2016 Pts 2016 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2015 Avg 2015 Fantasy Ranking 2015 Consistency
275.13 17.38 1 10.67 18.51 25 --
2016 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2016 Better Defenses in 2016 Better Pass Defenses in 2016 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
5 No No No No No No No No No
Alex Smith Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2016 Chiefs100036321510031.6531.65
2015 Chiefs16000348620498200296.1018.51
2014 Chiefs15000326518254100248.6516.58
2013 Chiefs161-40331323431100283.5517.72
Alex Smith 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Alex Smith has beaten his fantasy projection 6 out of 11 years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #16 in 2013, and he has had a total of 5 seasons with a top 20 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Smith beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending down 3 out of the last 5 years.
Player Consistency:
, and he was also one of the top 5 most consistent players overall (ranked 3).
Career Experience Outlook:
Smith is entering his 12th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 12th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.04 from their 11th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Smith has averaged 3.14 fantasy pts per game less than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.07) pts per game for Smith. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Charcandrick West (2015 Avg: 8.68 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Jamaal Charles (2015 Avg: 15.05 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Jah Reid is no longer starting, James Winchester has left the team, Jarrod Pughsley is now starting and Mitchell Schwartz has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Smith plays this year have the same winning percentage (0.500%) as the teams on last year's schedule, but this season's teams gave up more points (4,864) compared to last season's teams (4,618) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
There was not much difference last year in the fantasy average Smith had against winning teams (18.14 pts/game) and losing teams (18.79 pts/game), so there are no clear trends to be learned from the winning percentage of the schedule.
From a defensive standpoint, Smith faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.77 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.08 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (244 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (237 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Smith has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (15.55 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (15.00 pts per game), 4th quarter (13.57 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (13.12 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 8 (17.14 pts per game), week 3 (17.04 pts per game) and week 5 (16.72 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 10 (11.35 pts per game), week 9 (11.88 pts per game) and week 16 (12.06 pts per game).



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