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| Alex Smith 2011 Fantasy Projection |
| 2011 Pts |
2011 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2010 Avg |
2010 Fantasy Ranking |
2010 Consistency |
| 191.40 |
15.91 |
1 |
11.00 |
15.14 |
24 |
Average |
| 2011 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2011 |
Better Defenses in 2011 |
Better Pass Defenses in 2011 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 7 |
No |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
| Alex Smith Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2010 | 49ers | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2370 | 14 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 166.50 | 15.14 |
| 2009 | 49ers | 12 | 1 | -6 | 0 | 2350 | 18 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176.30 | 14.69 |
| 2008 | 49ers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alex Smith 2011 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Alex Smith has been above his projection the last 2 years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #17 in 2006.
Fantasy Trends:
Smith's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 2 years, and has been trending up 3 out of the past 5 years.
Player Consistency:
Alex Smith was ranked the 26th most consistent QB last year, and he was one of the top 50 most consistent players overall (ranked 35).
Career Experience Outlook:
Smith is entering his 7th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 7th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.18 from their 6th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Smith has averaged 4.66 fantasy pts per game less than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2010 was 15.34.
Depth Chart Change:
Smith has moved up from 2nd to 1st on the depth chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.445) pts per game for Smith. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Frank Gore (2010 Avg: 8.62 Pts/Game) and Moran Norris (2010 Avg: 0.06 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Ted Ginn (2010 Avg: 1.17 Pts/Game) and Josh Morgan (2010 Avg: 3.04 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Vernon Davis (2010 Avg: 5.48 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Adam Snyder, Joe Staley, Chilo Rachal, Anthony Davis and Mike Iupati have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: David Akers (2010 Avg: 8.94 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Smith played last year (107 - 103 - 0 0.510%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (101 - 108 - 0 0.483%), but last season's teams gave up more points (4,653) compared to this season's teams (4,635) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Smith had a better fantasy avg (11.65 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (9.44 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Smith doing better against teams with a worse record.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Smith faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.62 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.69 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (283 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (263 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Smith has been a slow starter, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (14.18 pts per game), followed by the 4th quarter (13.16 pts per game), 3rd quarter (12.18 pts per game) and 1st quarter (10.85 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 11 (18.90 pts per game), week 3 (17.60 pts per game) and week 6 (16.15 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 4 (4.98 pts per game), week 10 (6.90 pts per game) and week 16 (9.59 pts per game).
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