Player Fantasy Projection
Alex Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Alex Smith Bio & Career Stats
210Alex Smith FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Helix HS [La Mesa, CA]
Drafted: 2005 San Francisco 49ers
(Round: 1 #1)
|Alex Smith 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Alex Smith Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Alex Smith 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Alex Smith has beaten his fantasy projection 6 out of 11 years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #16 in 2013, and he has had a total of 5 seasons with a top 20 ranking.
Smith beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending down 3 out of the last 5 years.
, and he was also one of the top 5 most consistent players overall (ranked 3).
Career Experience Outlook:
Smith is entering his 12th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 12th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.04 from their 11th year.
Throughout his career Smith has averaged 3.14 fantasy pts per game less than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.07) pts per game for Smith. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Charcandrick West (2015 Avg: 8.68 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Jamaal Charles (2015 Avg: 15.05 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Jah Reid is no longer starting, James Winchester has left the team, Jarrod Pughsley is now starting and Mitchell Schwartz has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Smith plays this year have the same winning percentage (0.500%) as the teams on last year's schedule, but this season's teams gave up more points (4,864) compared to last season's teams (4,618) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
There was not much difference last year in the fantasy average Smith had against winning teams (18.14 pts/game) and losing teams (18.79 pts/game), so there are no clear trends to be learned from the winning percentage of the schedule.
From a defensive standpoint, Smith faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.77 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.08 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (244 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (237 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Smith has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (15.55 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (15.00 pts per game), 4th quarter (13.57 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (13.12 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 8 (17.14 pts per game), week 3 (17.04 pts per game) and week 5 (16.72 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 10 (11.35 pts per game), week 9 (11.88 pts per game) and week 16 (12.06 pts per game).