Player Fantasy Projection
Aaron Rodgers 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Aaron Rodgers Bio & Career Stats
223Aaron Rodgers FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Pleasant Valley HS [Chico, CA]
Drafted: 2005 Green Bay Packers
(Round: 1 #24)
|Aaron Rodgers 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Aaron Rodgers Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Aaron Rodgers 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Aaron Rodgers has beaten his fantasy projection 6 out of 11 years, but he was below his projection last year. His best fantasy QB ranking was #1 in 2009 and 2010, and he has had a total of 4 seasons with a top 3 ranking.
Rodgers fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending down 3 out of the past 5 years.
, and he was one of the top 25 most consistent players overall (ranked 21).
Career Experience Outlook:
Rodgers is entering his 12th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 12th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.04 from their 11th year.
Throughout his career Rodgers has averaged 1.31 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (2.34) pts per game for Rodgers. At the Running Back/Full Back position: John Kuhn (2015 Avg: 1.96 Pts/Game) has left the team and Aaron Ripkowski (2015 Avg: .45 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Wide Receiver position: Davante Adams (2015 Avg: 2.51 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and Jordy Nelson has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Rick Lovato has left the team.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Rodgers played last year (112 - 96 - 0 0.538%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (93 - 115 - 0 0.447%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,938) compared to last season's teams (4,468) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Rodgers had a better fantasy avg (20.29 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (20.27 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Rodgers doing better against teams with a worse record.
From a defensive standpoint, Rodgers faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.62 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.08 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (244 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 4 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (234 yds/game including 6 Top 10 Defenses and 4 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Rodgers has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (22.63 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (22.46 pts per game), 4th quarter (21.63 pts per game) and 3rd quarter (20.78 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 6 (25.63 pts per game), week 13 (25.36 pts per game) and week 2 (24.58 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 10 (15.96 pts per game), week 14 (17.14 pts per game) and week 15 (19.06 pts per game).