Player Fantasy Projection
Philip Rivers 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Philip Rivers Bio & Career Stats
228Philip Rivers FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Athens HS [AL]
North Carolina State
Drafted: 2004 New York Giants
(Round: 1 #4)
|Philip Rivers 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Philip Rivers Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Philip Rivers 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Philip Rivers beat his projection last year. His best fantasy QB ranking was #4 in 2008 and 2010, and he has had a total of 7 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Rivers beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending down 3 out of the last 5 years.
, and he was one of the top 25 most consistent players overall (ranked 15).
Career Experience Outlook:
Rivers is entering his 13th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 13th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.14 from their 12th year.
Throughout his career Rivers has averaged 0.54 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.7125) pts per game for Rivers. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Derek Watt has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Malcom Floyd (2015 Avg: 3.54 Pts/Game) has left the team, Steve Johnson (2015 Avg: 4.76 Pts/Game) is now starting and Travis Benjamin (2015 Avg: 5.70 Pts/Game) and Keenan Allen (2015 Avg: 7.53 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Ladarius Green (2015 Avg: 3.50 Pts/Game) has left the team, Antonio Gates (2015 Avg: 5.59 Pts/Game) is now starting and Hunter Henry has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Trevor Robinson is no longer starting, Mike Windt has left the team and Matt Slauson has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Rivers played last year (105 - 103 - 0 0.505%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (100 - 108 - 0 0.481%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,941) compared to last season's teams (4,672) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Rivers had a lower fantasy avg (17.56 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (23.62 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be a indication of a better fantasy season.
From a defensive standpoint, Rivers faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.85 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.15 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (243 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (241 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Rivers has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (20.05 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (19.87 pts per game), 3rd quarter (17.75 pts per game) and 4th quarter (16.77 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 2 (23.84 pts per game), week 5 (22.92 pts per game) and week 6 (19.70 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 11 (16.01 pts per game), week 15 (16.69 pts per game) and week 13 (16.88 pts per game).