|
| Philip Rivers 2010 Fantasy Projection |
| 2010 Pts |
2010 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2009 Avg |
2009 Fantasy Ranking |
2009 Consistency |
| 265.44 |
16.59 |
1 |
16.00 |
19.23 |
10 |
Consistent |
| 2010 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2010 |
Better Defenses in 2010 |
Better Pass Defenses in 2010 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 10 |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
| Philip Rivers Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2009 | Chargers | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4254 | 28 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 307.70 | 19.23 |
| 2008 | Chargers | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4009 | 34 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 347.40 | 19.43 |
| 2007 | Chargers | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3152 | 21 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 229.90 | 14.37 |
| Philip Rivers 2010 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Philip Rivers has been above his projection the last 2 years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #4 in 2008, and he has had a total of 4 seasons with a top 15 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Rivers fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending up 3 out of the last 5 years.
Player Consistency:
Philip Rivers was one of the top 5 most consistent QBs last year (ranked 3), and he was also one of the top 5 most consistent players overall (ranked 2).
Career Experience Outlook:
Rivers is entering his 7th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 7th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.87 from their 6th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Rivers has averaged 2.22 fantasy pts per game less than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2009 was 14.24.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (2.705) pts per game for Rivers. At the Running Back/Full Back position: LaDainian Tomlinson (2009 Avg: 10.91 Pts/Game) and Jacob Hester (2009 Avg: 0.57 Pts/Game) have left the team, Mike Tolbert (2009 Avg: 3.03 Pts/Game) is now starting and Ryan Mathews has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Malcom Floyd (2009 Avg: 2.80 Pts/Game) and Vincent Jackson (2009 Avg: 7.56 Pts/Game) have left the team, Legedu Naanee (2009 Avg: 1.72 Pts/Game) is now starting and Malcolm Floyd has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Marcus McNeill has left the team and Jeromey Clary has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Rivers plays this year have the same winning percentage (0.476%) as the teams on last year's schedule, but this season's teams gave up more points (4,557) compared to last season's teams (4,520) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
There was not much difference last year in the fantasy average Rivers had against winning teams (21.83 pts/game) and losing teams (18.05 pts/game), so there are no clear trends to be learned from the winning percentage of the schedule.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Rivers faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.38 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 19.15 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and this season's teams gave up more passing yards (224 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to last season's teams (219 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Rivers has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (18.53 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (17.62 pts per game), 3rd quarter (16.04 pts per game) and 4th quarter (15.21 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 3 (22.42 pts per game), week 2 (21.99 pts per game) and week 7 (20.00 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 1 (13.31 pts per game), week 9 (13.85 pts per game) and week 13 (13.86 pts per game).
|
Chart.
Chart.
Chart.
|
| |
|
|
