|
| Philip Rivers 2011 Fantasy Projection |
| 2011 Pts |
2011 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2010 Avg |
2010 Fantasy Ranking |
2010 Consistency |
| 302.88 |
18.93 |
1 |
16.00 |
20.67 |
4 |
Consistent |
| 2011 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2011 |
Better Defenses in 2011 |
Better Pass Defenses in 2011 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 6 |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
| Philip Rivers Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2010 | Chargers | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4710 | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 330.70 | 20.67 |
| 2009 | Chargers | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4254 | 28 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 307.70 | 19.23 |
| 2008 | Chargers | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4009 | 34 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 347.40 | 19.43 |
| Philip Rivers 2011 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Philip Rivers has beaten his fantasy projection 4 out of 7 years, including the last 3. His best fantasy QB ranking was #4 in 2008 and 2010, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Rivers beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending up 3 out of the past 5 years.
Player Consistency:
Philip Rivers was one of the top 10 most consistent QBs last year (ranked 6), and he was also one of the top 5 most consistent players overall (ranked 5).
Career Experience Outlook:
Rivers is entering his 8th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 8th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.7 from their 7th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Rivers has averaged 1.14 fantasy pts per game less than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2010 was 15.34.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.1575) pts per game for Rivers. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Jacob Hester (2010 Avg: 1.28 Pts/Game) and Ryan Mathews (2010 Avg: 9.75 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Malcom Floyd (2010 Avg: 6.53 Pts/Game) and Vincent Jackson (2010 Avg: 6.36 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Antonio Gates (2010 Avg: 9.01 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Jeromey Clary, Kris Dielman, Nick Hardwick, Marcus McNeill and Louis Vasquez have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Nate Kaeding (2010 Avg: 8.38 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Rivers playes this year (111 - 98 - 0 0.531%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (95 - 115 - 0 0.452%), and last season's teams gave up more points (5,020) compared to this season's teams (4,473) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Rivers had a lower fantasy avg (17.46 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (21.74 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Rivers will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.69 - 5 Top 10 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 21.69), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (293 yds/game including 1 Top 10 Defense and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to this season's teams (270 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Rivers has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (19.23 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (18.86 pts per game), 3rd quarter (16.72 pts per game) and 4th quarter (15.72 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 3 (24.05 pts per game), week 2 (22.73 pts per game) and week 5 (21.40 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 13 (14.59 pts per game), week 4 (14.77 pts per game) and week 1 (14.93 pts per game).
|
Chart.
Chart.
Chart.
|
| |
|
|
