Player Fantasy Projection
Carson Palmer 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Carson Palmer Bio & Career Stats
230Carson Palmer FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Santa Margarita HS [Rancho Santa Margarita, CA]
Drafted: 2003 Cincinnati Bengals
(Round: 1 #1)
|Carson Palmer 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Carson Palmer Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Carson Palmer 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Carson Palmer has beaten his fantasy projection 10 out of 13 years, including the last 7. His best fantasy QB ranking was #2 in 2005, and he has had a total of 5 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Palmer's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 3 years, and has been trending up 6 out of the past 8 years.
, and he was also one of the top 5 most consistent players overall (ranked 5).
Career Experience Outlook:
Palmer is entering his 14th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 14th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 2.31 from their 13th year.
Throughout his career Palmer has averaged 0.95 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.8175) pts per game for Palmer. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Chris Johnson (2015 Avg: 9.30 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: John Brown (2015 Avg: 6.74 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Darren Fells (2015 Avg: 3.05 Pts/Game) has left the team and John Wetzel has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Ted Larsen, Bobby Massie, Lyle Sendlein and Mike Leach have left the team, A.Q. Shipley and D.J. Humphries are now starting and Evan Mathis has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Palmer plays this year (107 - 85 - 0 0.557%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (100 - 108 - 0 0.481%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,753) compared to this season's teams (4,268) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Palmer had a lower fantasy avg (21.53 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (21.78 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Palmer will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.00 - 5 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.62 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (247 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (245 yds/game including 1 Top 10 Defense and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Palmer has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (19.89 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (18.30 pts per game), 1st quarter (17.64 pts per game) and 4th quarter (16.24 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 11 (21.78 pts per game), week 9 (20.50 pts per game) and week 2 (19.42 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 16 (14.69 pts per game), week 14 (15.06 pts per game) and week 15 (15.91 pts per game).