Player Fantasy Projection
Luke McCown 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Luke McCown Bio & Career Stats
212Luke McCown FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Jacksonville HS [TX]
Drafted: 2004 Cleveland Browns
(Round: 4 #106)
|Luke McCown 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Luke McCown Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Luke McCown 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Luke McCown has been below his fantasy projection 9 out of 12 years, but he beat his projection last year. His best fantasy QB ranking was #40 in 2007.
McCown's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 3 years, and has been trending up 5 out of the past 7 years.
Career Experience Outlook:
McCown is entering his 13th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 13th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.14 from their 12th year.
Throughout his career McCown has averaged 12.21 fantasy pts per game less than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
At the Running Back/Full Back position: C.J. Spiller (2015 Avg: 2.70 Pts/Game) is no longer starting, Austin Johnson (2015 Avg: 1.68 Pts/Game) has left the team and Mark Ingram (2015 Avg: 11.08 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Marques Colston (2015 Avg: 3.85 Pts/Game) has left the team and Michael Thomas has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Benjamin Watson (2015 Avg: 4.83 Pts/Game) has left the team, Josh Hill (2015 Avg: 1.64 Pts/Game) is now starting and Coby Fleener (2015 Avg: 2.84 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Jahri Evans and Justin Drescher have left the team and Andrus Peat and Tim Lelito are now starting.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule McCown plays this year (104 - 88 - 0 0.542%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (100 - 108 - 0 0.481%), and last season's teams gave up more points (5,000) compared to this season's teams (4,269) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
McCown surprisingly had a higher fantasy avg (15.50 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (1.25 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be an indication of a higher fantasy average.
From a defensive standpoint, McCown will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.00 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.46 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (246 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (240 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career McCown has been a strong finisher. On average his best 4 game stretch has been the last 4 games of the year (13.59 pts per game), followed by the 1st quarter (7.27 pts per game), 3rd quarter (4.00 pts per game) and 2nd quarter (0.68 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 13 (23.00 pts per game), week 14 (10.75 pts per game) and week 16 (8.83 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 2 (4.88 pts per game), week 1 (5.55 pts per game) and week 16 (8.83 pts per game).