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| David Garrard 2011 Fantasy Projection |
| 2011 Pts |
2011 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2010 Avg |
2010 Fantasy Ranking |
2010 Consistency |
| 233.52 |
16.48 |
1 |
15.00 |
17.57 |
17 |
Average |
| 2011 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2011 |
Better Defenses in 2011 |
Better Pass Defenses in 2011 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 9 |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
| David Garrard Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2010 | Jaguars | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2734 | 23 | 279 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 263.60 | 17.57 |
| 2009 | Jaguars | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3597 | 15 | 323 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 275.15 | 17.20 |
| 2008 | Jaguars | 16 | 1 | -6 | 0 | 3620 | 15 | 322 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 269.90 | 16.87 |
| David Garrard 2011 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
David Garrard has beaten his fantasy projection 8 out of 9 years, including the last 7. His best fantasy QB ranking was #10 in 2008, and he has had a total of 3 seasons with a top 15 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Garrard's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 2 years, and has been trending up 3 out of the past 5 years.
Player Consistency:
David Garrard was one of the top 25 most consistent QBs last year (ranked 24), and he was one of the top 50 most consistent players overall (ranked 31).
Career Experience Outlook:
Garrard is entering his 10th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 10th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 1.27 from their 9th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Garrard has averaged 1.22 fantasy pts per game less than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2010 was 15.34.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.385) pts per game for Garrard. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Greg Jones (2010 Avg: 0.17 Pts/Game) and Maurice Jones-Drew (2010 Avg: 13.59 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Mike Thomas (2010 Avg: 4.78 Pts/Game) and Jason Hill (2010 Avg: 3.07 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Marcedes Lewis (2010 Avg: 5.94 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Brad Meester, Uche Nwaneri, Jason Spitz, Eben Britton and Eugene Monroe have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Josh Scobee (2010 Avg: 6.69 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Garrard playes this year (112 - 96 - 0 0.538%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (94 - 115 - 0 0.450%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,981) compared to this season's teams (4,285) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Garrard had a lower fantasy avg (14.04 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (17.94 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Garrard will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.15 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 19.23 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (275 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (271 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Garrard has been a quick starter. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (16.78 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (16.76 pts per game), 4th quarter (16.61 pts per game) and 2nd quarter (14.07 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 4 (26.13 pts per game), week 10 (20.37 pts per game) and week 15 (20.23 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 11 (13.11 pts per game), week 3 (13.28 pts per game) and week 8 (13.84 pts per game).
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