Jay Cutler Fantasy Ranking & Outlook  
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Jay Cutler Bio & Career Stats

Jay Cutler picture
Jersey: #6
Position: Quarterback
Career: 5 Years
Height: 6-3
Weight: 233
Jay Cutler FAQs

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: Apr 29, 1983
Birth Place: Santa Claus, IN
High School: Heritage HS [Lincoln City, IN]
College: Vanderbilt
Drafted: 2006 Denver Broncos (Round: 1 #11)

Quarterback Rankings:
<< Tom Brady    Matt Cassel >>
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Jay Cutler 2011 Fantasy Projection
2011 Pts 2011 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2010 Avg 2010 Fantasy Ranking 2010 Consistency
238.05 15.61 1 15.50 17.46 18 Average
2011 Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2011 Better Defenses in 2011 Better Pass Defenses in 2011 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
8 No No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Jay Cutler Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2010 Bears15000327423232100261.9017.46
2009 Bears16000366627172100287.5017.97
2008 Broncos16000452625200200333.3020.83
Jay Cutler 2011 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Jay Cutler has beaten his fantasy projection 3 out of 5 years, but he was below his projection the last 2. His best fantasy QB ranking was #5 in 2008, and he has had a total of 4 seasons with a top 15 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Cutler's fantasy game average per year has been going down for 2 years.
Player Consistency:
Jay Cutler was one of the top 25 most consistent QBs last year (ranked 21), and he was one of the top 50 most consistent players overall (ranked 27).
Career Experience Outlook:
Cutler is entering his 6th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 6th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.24 from their 5th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Cutler has averaged 3.14 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2010 was 15.34.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.545) pts per game for Cutler. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Matt Forte (2010 Avg: 11.77 Pts/Game) and Eddie Williams have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Roy Williams (2010 Avg: 3.77 Pts/Game) and Devin Hester (2010 Avg: 3.17 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Kellen Davis (2010 Avg: 0.43 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Roberto Garza, Chris Williams, Lance Louis, J'Marcus Webb and Gabe Carimi have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Robbie Gould (2010 Avg: 6.88 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Cutler playes this year (106 - 103 - 0 0.507%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (99 - 109 - 0 0.476%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,639) compared to this season's teams (4,595) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Cutler had a lower fantasy avg (15.14 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (17.11 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Cutler will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.69 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.46 - 7 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (271 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (260 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).

In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Cutler has been a quick starter. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (19.21 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (17.86 pts per game), 4th quarter (17.59 pts per game) and 2nd quarter (17.26 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 16 (22.49 pts per game), week 10 (21.94 pts per game) and week 1 (21.79 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 11 (13.54 pts per game), week 5 (14.13 pts per game) and week 15 (14.99 pts per game).
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