Jay Cutler Fantasy Ranking & Outlook  
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Jay Cutler Bio & Career Stats

Jay Cutler picture
Jersey: #6
Position: Quarterback
Career: 4 Years
Height: 6-3
Weight: 233

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: Apr 29, 1983
Birth Place: Santa Claus, IN
High School: Heritage HS [Lincoln City, IN]
College: Vanderbilt
Drafted: 2006 Denver Broncos (Round: 1 #11)

Quarterback Rankings:
<< Aaron Rodgers    
Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Jay Cutler 2009 Fantasy Projection
2009 Pts 2009 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2008 Avg 2008 Fantasy Ranking 2008 Consistency
294.60 18.80 1 16.00 20.83 5 Consistent
Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2009 Better Defenses in 2009 Better Pass Defenses in 2009 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
5 Yes No No No Yes No Yes Yes Yes
Jay Cutler Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2009 Bears16000366627172100287.5017.97
2008 Broncos16000452625200200333.3020.83
2007 Broncos16000349720205100261.3516.33
2006 Broncos5000100191800078.8515.77
Jay Cutler 2009 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Jay Cutler has beaten his fantasy projection 3 straight years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #2 in 2008.
Fantasy Trends:
Cutler's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 2 years.
Player Consistency:
Jay Cutler was one of the top 25 most consistent QBs last year (ranked 12), and he was one of the top 25 most consistent players overall (ranked 13).
Career Experience Outlook:
Cutler is entering his 4th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 4th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.87 from their 3rd year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Cutler has averaged 3.29 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2008 was 14.57.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart. He has changed teams since last year moving from the Broncos to the Bears.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (0.59) pts per game for Cutler. At the Quarterback position: Kyle Orton (2008 Avg: 15.06 Pts/Game) has left the team. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Jason McKie (2008 Avg: 2.16 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Wide Receiver position: Devin Hester (2008 Avg: 3.82 Pts/Game) is now starting. Along the Offenisve Line: Josh Beekman is no longer starting, John St. Clair and John Tait have left the team, Chris Williams is now starting and Frank Omiyale and Orlando Pace have been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on winning percentage the teams on the schedule Cutler played last year (102 - 106 - 0 0.490%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (89 - 117 - 2 0.432%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,689) compared to last season's teams (4,586) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Cutler had a lower fantasy avg (16.84 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (23.23 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be a indication of a better fantasy season.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Cutler will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.69 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 20.00 - 1 Top 10 Defense and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (220 yds/game including 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to this season's teams (209 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).
Starting Position Performance against Defenses:
Starting Quarterbacks averaged more points (16.37 pts/game) against last season's teams compared to this season's teams (15.59 pts/game), which could make it difficult for Cutler to match last year's fantasy point total.
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Cutler has been a quick starter. On average his best 4 game stretch is the first 4 games of the year (20.06 pts per game), followed by the 4th quarter (18.27 pts per game), 3rd quarter (17.16 pts per game) and 2nd quarter (16.94 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 10 (24.48 pts per game), week 2 (23.18 pts per game) and week 14 (21.23 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 9 (11.28 pts per game), week 5 (14.13 pts per game) and week 11 (15.45 pts per game).
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