Matt Cassel Fantasy Ranking & Outlook  
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Matt Cassel Bio & Career Stats

Matt Cassel picture
Jersey: #16
Position: Quarterback
Career: 5 Years
Height: 6-4
Weight: 230

Additional Bio Information

Birth Date: May 17, 1982
Birth Place: Northridge, CA
High School: Chatsworth HS [CA]
College: USC
Drafted: 2005 New England Patriots (Round: 7 #230)

Quarterback Rankings:
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Position Projections:
QB | RB | WR | TE | K | Draft Kit Index

  * Average Games Played the Previous 3 Years
  ** Player Missed More than 8 Games the Previous Season Due to Injury
Matt Cassel 2009 Fantasy Projection
2009 Pts 2009 Avg Depth Chart *Avg Games Played 2008 Avg 2008 Fantasy Ranking 2008 Consistency
248.00 16.00 1 12.00 17.92 11 Inconsistent
Bye Week Team Change Head Coach Change **Coming Off Injury Depth Chart Change Higher Fantasy Avg then League Harder Schedule in 2009 Better Defenses in 2009 Better Pass Defenses in 2009 Better Against Sub 500 Teams
8 Yes Yes No No No Yes Yes Yes No
Matt Cassel Previous Years Stats
YearTeamGmsRecsRec YdsRec TdsPass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsFGsXPsFan PtsFan Pts Avg
2009 Chiefs15000292416193000213.5014.23
2008 Patriots16000369321270200286.6517.92
2007 Patriots6000380121009.101.52
2006 Patriots600032040002.000.33
Matt Cassel 2009 Fantasy Analysis
Career Synopsis:
Matt Cassel has been below his fantasy projection 3 out of 4 years, but he beat his projection last year. His best fantasy QB ranking was #8 in 2008.
Fantasy Trends:
Cassel's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 2 years.
Player Consistency:
Matt Cassel was ranked the 31st most consistent QB last year, and he was one of the top 75 most consistent players overall (ranked 53).
Career Experience Outlook:
Cassel is entering his 5th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 5th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.69 from their 4th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Cassel has averaged 7.25 fantasy pts per game less than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2008 was 14.57.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart. He has changed teams since last year moving from the Patriots to the Chiefs.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.005) pts per game for Cassel. At the Quarterback position: Tyler Thigpen (2008 Avg: 17.77 Pts/Game) is no longer starting. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Mike Cox (2008 Avg: 0.05 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Wide Receiver position: Mark Bradley (2008 Avg: 4.18 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Tony Gonzalez (2008 Avg: 7.06 Pts/Game) has left the team and Brad Cottam (2008 Avg: 0.21 Pts/Game) is now starting. Along the Offenisve Line: Adrian Jones has left the team and Eric Ghiaciuc and Mike Goff have been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on winning percentage the teams on the schedule Cassel playes this year (102 - 104 - 2 0.495%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (96 - 112 - 0 0.462%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,823) compared to this season's teams (4,317) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Cassel surprisingly had a higher fantasy avg (20.04 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (16.28 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be an indication of a higher fantasy average.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Cassel will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 12.69 - 7 Top 10 Defenses and 4 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 20.85 - 1 Top 10 Defense and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (220 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to this season's teams (201 yds/game including 7 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense).
Starting Position Performance against Defenses:
Starting Quarterbacks averaged more points (16.05 pts/game) against last season's teams compared to this season's teams (15.00 pts/game), which could make it difficult for Cassel to match last year's fantasy point total.
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Cassel has been a slow starter, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (20.99 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (15.06 pts per game), 4th quarter (11.42 pts per game) and 1st quarter (7.89 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 11 (17.85 pts per game), week 8 (13.73 pts per game) and week 15 (12.85 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 14 (9.20 pts per game), week 15 (12.85 pts per game) and week 8 (13.73 pts per game).
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