|
| Drew Brees 2010 Fantasy Projection |
| 2010 Pts |
2010 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2009 Avg |
2009 Fantasy Ranking |
2009 Consistency |
| 306.37 |
20.09 |
1 |
15.50 |
22.43 |
2 |
Average |
| 2010 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2010 |
Better Defenses in 2010 |
Better Pass Defenses in 2010 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 10 |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
No |
No |
| Drew Brees Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2009 | Saints | 15 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 4388 | 34 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 336.50 | 22.43 |
| 2008 | Saints | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5069 | 34 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 355.35 | 22.21 |
| 2007 | Saints | 16 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 4423 | 28 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 316.85 | 19.80 |
| Drew Brees 2010 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Drew Brees has beaten his fantasy projection 7 out of 9 years, including the last 4. His best fantasy QB ranking was #2 in 2006 and 2009, and he has had a total of 4 seasons with a top 3 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Brees' fantasy game average per year has been going up for 4 years, and has been trending up 5 out of the past 7 years.
Player Consistency:
Drew Brees was one of the top 25 most consistent QBs last year (ranked 19), and he was one of the top 25 most consistent players overall (ranked 19).
Career Experience Outlook:
Brees is entering his 10th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 10th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 1.46 from their 9th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Brees has averaged 3.52 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2009 was 14.24.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (2.33) pts per game for Brees. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Reggie Bush (2009 Avg: 7.41 Pts/Game) is no longer starting, Kyle Eckel (2009 Avg: 0.19 Pts/Game) has left the team, Pierre Thomas (2009 Avg: 10.17 Pts/Game) is now starting and Heath Evans (2009 Avg: 3.85 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Jermon Bushrod is no longer starting and Charles Brown has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Brees playes this year (100 - 108 - 0 0.481%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (89 - 119 - 0 0.428%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,550) compared to this season's teams (4,278) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Brees surprisingly had a higher fantasy avg (21.95 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (20.48 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could be an indication of a higher fantasy average.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Brees will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 15.54 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.46 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), but this season's teams gave up more passing yards (223 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season's teams (214 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Brees has been a slow starter, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (21.00 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (19.48 pts per game), 4th quarter (17.23 pts per game) and 1st quarter (16.05 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 8 (23.34 pts per game), week 11 (22.57 pts per game) and week 12 (22.49 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 3 (13.69 pts per game), week 2 (15.30 pts per game) and week 13 (15.31 pts per game).
|
Chart.
Chart.
Chart.
|
| |
|
|
