Player Fantasy Projection
Drew Brees 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Drew Brees Bio & Career Stats
209Drew Brees FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
Westlake HS [Austin, TX]
Drafted: 2001 San Diego Chargers
(Round: 2 #32)
|Drew Brees 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Drew Brees Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Drew Brees 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Drew Brees has beaten his fantasy projection 11 out of 15 years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #1 in 2012 and 2011, and he has had a total of 8 seasons with a top 3 ranking.
Brees beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending up 3 out of the past 5 years.
, and he was one of the top 50 most consistent players overall (ranked 31).
Career Experience Outlook:
Brees is entering his 16th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 16th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 2.99 from their 15th year.
Throughout his career Brees has averaged 5.05 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.2875) pts per game for Brees. At the Running Back/Full Back position: C.J. Spiller (2015 Avg: 2.70 Pts/Game) is no longer starting, Austin Johnson (2015 Avg: 1.68 Pts/Game) has left the team and Mark Ingram (2015 Avg: 11.08 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Marques Colston (2015 Avg: 3.85 Pts/Game) has left the team and Michael Thomas has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Benjamin Watson (2015 Avg: 4.83 Pts/Game) has left the team, Josh Hill (2015 Avg: 1.64 Pts/Game) is now starting and Coby Fleener (2015 Avg: 2.84 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Justin Drescher and Jahri Evans have left the team and Andrus Peat and Tim Lelito are now starting.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Brees plays this year (104 - 88 - 0 0.542%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (100 - 108 - 0 0.481%), and last season's teams gave up more points (5,000) compared to this season's teams (4,269) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Brees had a lower fantasy avg (18.30 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (24.92 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Brees will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.00 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 17.46 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (246 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (240 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Brees has been a slow starter, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (21.95 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (21.49 pts per game), 4th quarter (20.38 pts per game) and 1st quarter (19.13 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 8 (24.59 pts per game), week 12 (23.00 pts per game) and week 11 (22.11 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 2 (17.31 pts per game), week 13 (18.03 pts per game) and week 3 (18.44 pts per game).