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| Drew Brees 2011 Fantasy Projection |
| 2011 Pts |
2011 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2010 Avg |
2010 Fantasy Ranking |
2010 Consistency |
| 294.52 |
18.50 |
1 |
15.50 |
20.63 |
5 |
Very Consistent |
| 2011 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2011 |
Better Defenses in 2011 |
Better Pass Defenses in 2011 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 11 |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
| Drew Brees Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2010 | Saints | 16 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4620 | 33 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 330.05 | 20.63 |
| 2009 | Saints | 15 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 4388 | 34 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 336.50 | 22.43 |
| 2008 | Saints | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5069 | 34 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 355.35 | 22.21 |
| Drew Brees 2011 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Drew Brees has beaten his fantasy projection 7 out of 10 years, but he was below his projection last year. His best fantasy QB ranking was #2 in 2006 and 2009, and he has had a total of 4 seasons with a top 3 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Brees fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, but his avg has been trending up 4 out of the last 6 years.
Player Consistency:
Drew Brees was the most consistent QB last year, and he was also the most consistent player overall.
Career Experience Outlook:
Brees is entering his 11th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 11th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.17 from their 10th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Brees has averaged 3.69 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2010 was 15.34.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (2.6) pts per game for Brees. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Pierre Thomas (2010 Avg: 8.16 Pts/Game) and Korey Hall (2010 Avg: 0.04 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Marques Colston (2010 Avg: 6.22 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: David Thomas (2010 Avg: 1.77 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Jermon Bushrod, Jahri Evans, Olin Kreutz, Jonathan Stinchcomb and Carl Nicks have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Garrett Hartley (2010 Avg: 7.14 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Brees playes this year (105 - 103 - 0 0.505%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (96 - 113 - 0 0.459%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,555) compared to this season's teams (4,505) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Brees had a lower fantasy avg (20.62 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (20.64 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Brees will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.08 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.00 - 2 Top 10 Defenses and 1 Top 5 Defense), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (283 yds/game including 2 Top 10 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (279 yds/game including 3 Top 10 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Brees has been a slow starter, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (21.24 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (19.77 pts per game), 4th quarter (17.45 pts per game) and 1st quarter (16.42 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 11 (23.64 pts per game), week 8 (23.08 pts per game) and week 12 (22.22 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 3 (15.19 pts per game), week 2 (15.72 pts per game) and week 13 (16.10 pts per game).
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