Player Fantasy Projection
Tom Brady 2016 Fantasy Projection And Ranking
Tom Brady Bio & Career Stats
225Tom Brady FAQs
Additional Bio Information
Birth Date: ,
San Mateo, CA
Serra HS [San Mateo, CA]
Drafted: 2000 New England Patriots
(Round: 6 #199)
|Tom Brady 2016 Fantasy Projection
||*Avg Games Played
||2015 Fantasy Ranking
|2016 Bye Week
||Head Coach Change
||**Coming Off Injury
||Depth Chart Change
||Higher Fantasy Avg then League
||Harder Schedule in 2016
||Better Defenses in 2016
||Better Pass Defenses in 2016
||Better Against Sub 500 Teams
|Tom Brady Previous Years Stats
|Year||Team||Gms||Recs||Rec Yds||Rec Tds||Pass Yds||Pass Tds||Rush Yds||Rush Tds||FGs||XPs||Fan Pts||Fan Pts Avg|
|Tom Brady 2016 Fantasy Analysis
Tom Brady beat his projection last year. His best fantasy QB ranking was #1 in 2005 and 2007, and he has had a total of 4 seasons with a top 3 ranking.
Brady's fantasy game average per year has been going up for 2 years, and has been trending up 3 out of the past 5 years.
, and he was one of the top 25 most consistent players overall (ranked 14).
Career Experience Outlook:
Brady is entering his 17th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 17th year have seen an increase in fantasy pts per game of 0.2 from their 16th year.
Throughout his career Brady has averaged 2.25 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2015 was 17.55.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (1.025) pts per game for Brady. At the Running Back/Full Back position: James White (2015 Avg: 5.65 Pts/Game) is no longer starting and LeGarrette Blount (2015 Avg: 9.54 Pts/Game) and Dion Lewis (2015 Avg: 9.54 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Julian Edelman (2015 Avg: 8.77 Pts/Game) is now starting. At the Tight End position: Martellus Bennett (2015 Avg: 3.63 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Marcus Cannon and Josh Kline are no longer starting, Joe Cardona has left the team, Tre Jackson is now starting and Nate Solder has been added to the starting lineup.
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Brady plays this year (103 - 89 - 0 0.536%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (97 - 111 - 0 0.466%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,894) compared to this season's teams (4,079) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Brady had a lower fantasy avg (22.39 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (23.73 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
From a defensive standpoint, Brady will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 12.92 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 5 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 18.62 - 3 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (248 yds/game including 4 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (238 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 3 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Brady has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (21.05 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (20.47 pts per game), 1st quarter (19.33 pts per game) and 4th quarter (17.65 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 10 (22.09 pts per game), week 6 (21.86 pts per game) and week 12 (21.44 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 15 (17.70 pts per game), week 2 (17.81 pts per game) and week 13 (17.93 pts per game).