|
| Tom Brady 2010 Fantasy Projection |
| 2010 Pts |
2010 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2009 Avg |
2009 Fantasy Ranking |
2009 Consistency |
| 251.05 |
17.02 |
1 |
8.50 |
19.64 |
7 |
Average |
| 2010 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2010 |
Better Defenses in 2010 |
Better Pass Defenses in 2010 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 5 |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
| Tom Brady Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2009 | Patriots | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4398 | 28 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 314.30 | 19.64 |
| 2008 | Patriots | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| 2007 | Patriots | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4806 | 50 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 412.10 | 25.76 |
| Tom Brady 2010 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Tom Brady has been below his projection the last 2 years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #1 in 2007 and 2005, and he has had a total of 6 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Brady beat his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending up 3 out of the past 5 years.
Player Consistency:
Tom Brady was one of the top 25 most consistent QBs last year (ranked 22), and he was one of the top 50 most consistent players overall (ranked 27).
Career Experience Outlook:
Brady is entering his 11th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 11th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 0.15 from their 10th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Brady has averaged 0.51 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2009 was 14.24.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (2.1675) pts per game for Brady. At the Running Back/Full Back position: BenJarvus Green-Ellis (2009 Avg: 1.00 Pts/Game) has left the team. At the Tight End position: Benjamin Watson (2009 Avg: 3.14 Pts/Game) has left the team and Alge Crumpler (2009 Avg: 1.07 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Sebastian Vollmer is no longer starting and Matt Light is now starting.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Brady playes this year (114 - 94 - 0 0.548%) will be more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule from last season (110 - 98 - 0 0.529%), and last season's teams gave up more points (4,333) compared to this season's teams (4,308) so this could mean less fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Brady had a lower fantasy avg (17.09 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (21.63 pts/game), so with a more difficult schedule for the upcoming season it could also be an indication of less points.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Brady will face defenses that are stronger this year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 13.54 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 5 Top 5 Defenses) compared to last season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 16.62 - 4 Top 10 Defenses and 2 Top 5 Defenses), and last season's teams gave up more passing yards (213 yds/game including 6 Top 10 Defenses and 4 Top 5 Defenses) compared to this season's teams (212 yds/game including 5 Top 10 Defenses and 4 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Brady has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the second quarter of the year (20.12 pts per game), followed by the 3rd quarter (19.11 pts per game), 1st quarter (18.00 pts per game) and 4th quarter (15.41 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 7 (21.33 pts per game), week 6 (20.79 pts per game) and week 8 (20.79 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 15 (13.44 pts per game), week 13 (14.18 pts per game) and week 2 (15.93 pts per game).
|
Chart.
Chart.
Chart.
|
| |
|
|
