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| Tom Brady 2011 Fantasy Projection |
| 2011 Pts |
2011 Avg |
Depth Chart |
*Avg Games Played |
2010 Avg |
2010 Fantasy Ranking |
2010 Consistency |
| 232.31 |
15.75 |
1 |
16.00 |
19.50 |
7 |
Consistent |
| 2011 Bye Week |
Team Change |
Head Coach Change |
**Coming Off Injury |
Depth Chart Change |
Higher Fantasy Avg then League |
Harder Schedule in 2011 |
Better Defenses in 2011 |
Better Pass Defenses in 2011 |
Better Against Sub 500 Teams |
| 7 |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
No |
No |
No |
No |
| Tom Brady Previous Years Stats |
| Year | Team | Gms | Recs | Rec Yds | Rec Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Rush Yds | Rush Tds | FGs | XPs | Fan Pts | Fan Pts Avg |
| 2010 | Patriots | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3900 | 36 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 312.00 | 19.50 |
| 2009 | Patriots | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4398 | 28 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 314.30 | 19.64 |
| 2008 | Patriots | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Tom Brady 2011 Fantasy Analysis |
Career Synopsis:
Tom Brady has beaten his fantasy projection 6 out of 11 years. His best fantasy QB ranking was #1 in 2007 and 2005, and he has had a total of 7 seasons with a top 10 ranking.
Fantasy Trends:
Brady fell below his previous year fantasy game average last year, and has been trending down 3 out of the past 5 years.
Player Consistency:
Tom Brady was one of the top 25 most consistent QBs last year (ranked 11), and he was one of the top 25 most consistent players overall (ranked 11).
Career Experience Outlook:
Brady is entering his 12th year in the NFL. Over the past 15 years, on average, QBs in their 12th year have seen a decrease in fantasy pts per game of 1.5 from their 11th year.
Position Outlook:
Throughout his career Brady has averaged 0.84 fantasy pts per game more than the league QB average. The average fantasy pts per game by QBs in 2010 was 15.34.
Depth Chart Change:
No Change in Depth Chart.
Player Turnover:
Based on prior performance, a change in roster skilled positions projects a lower fantasy average of (3.32) pts per game for Brady. At the Running Back/Full Back position: Danny Woodhead (2010 Avg: 8.14 Pts/Game) and BenJarvus Green-Ellis (2010 Avg: 11.44 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Wide Receiver position: Deion Branch (2010 Avg: 5.94 Pts/Game) and Chad Johnson (2010 Avg: 4.68 Pts/Game) have been added to the starting lineup. At the Tight End position: Rob Gronkowski (2010 Avg: 5.46 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup. Along the Offenisve Line: Dan Connolly, Dan Koppen, Matt Light, Logan Mankins and Sebastian Vollmer have been added to the starting lineup. At the Kicker position: Stephen Gostkowski (2010 Avg: 3.50 Pts/Game) has been added to the starting lineup.
Schedule Difficulty:
Based on the winning percentage of the teams on the schedule Brady played last year (108 - 100 - 0 0.519%) were more difficult compared to the teams on the schedule for the upcoming season (108 - 101 - 0 0.517%), and this season's teams gave up more points (4,707) compared to last season's teams (4,199) so this could mean more fantasy points.
Performance Against Sub 500 Teams:
Brady had a better fantasy avg (20.28 pts/game) against winning teams last year compared to teams with a losing record (18.72 pts/game), and with a less difficult schedule for the upcoming season it the data would suggest he may have a worse fantasy season, but the trend could easily change to Brady doing better against teams with a worse record.
Defenses:
From a defensive standpoint, Brady faced defenses that were stronger last year (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 12.54 - 7 Top 10 Defenses and 4 Top 5 Defenses) compared to the upcoming season (Avg. Total Yards Against Ranking: 14.00 - 6 Top 10 Defenses and 5 Top 5 Defenses).
In Season Trends:
Throughout his career Brady has been a slow finisher, but has had his best 4 game stretch during the third quarter of the year (19.63 pts per game), followed by the 2nd quarter (19.57 pts per game), 1st quarter (18.05 pts per game) and 4th quarter (15.93 pts per game). His best weekly fantasy average has been in week 10 (21.98 pts per game), week 6 (20.41 pts per game) and week 3 (20.17 pts per game), and his worst weekly average has been in week 15 (13.52 pts per game), week 13 (15.62 pts per game) and week 2 (16.20 pts per game).
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